How Solana reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 26 August 2026

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Solana's price swung 3.18 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.32 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.58% lower.

3.18x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
3.73x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.33x
Price at 8:30 AM
$97.52
15 minutes later
−0.71%
One hour later
−1.58%
range 1.79%, hour before 0.96%
SOL/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
96.54
Close
101.21
24h change
4.61%
24h high
102.46
24h low
94.95
24h volume
2.688M SOL

Measured by Clometrix

Solana's volatility ratio was 3.18x, against 1.32x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.73x, against a typical 1.33x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Solana moved

Solana was at $97.52 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.71% lower, and an hour later 1.58% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.79% of its price, against 0.96% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 26 August 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at 1.1% for July 2026, against 0.3% in June 2026. Durable goods orders are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Personal Income and Outlays, Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Solana about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.22x across 20, against 1.36x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 3.18x compares with 1.36x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Solana's median volatility ratio is 1.32x.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Solana's usual price swing is 1.32x. This one was 2.41 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.32x. Thick line: this release, 3.18x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 97.54 96.05 96.81 -0.73% 1.53% 0.15% 39,210 SOL
5 minutes 97.54 96.05 97.01 -0.53% 1.53% 0.30% 50,902 SOL
10 minutes 97.54 96.05 96.70 -0.85% 1.53% 0.71% 68,435 SOL
15 minutes 97.54 96.05 96.83 -0.71% 1.53% 0.95% 76,471 SOL
30 minutes 97.54 96.05 97.02 -0.52% 1.53% 0.96% 96,527 SOL
1 hour 97.54 95.79 95.98 -1.60% 1.79% 0.96% 193,439 SOL
2 hours 97.54 95.79 96.28 -1.29% 1.79% 1.37% 320,856 SOL
4 hours 97.54 94.95 95.79 -1.81% 2.66% 2.15% 572,909 SOL
6 hours 97.54 94.95 96.77 -0.78% 2.66% 2.15% 780,946 SOL
8 hours 97.88 94.95 95.79 -1.43% 2.99% 1.40% 927,711 SOL
12 hours 102.46 94.95 101.21 3.65% 7.33% 2.15% 1.772M SOL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 3.94x 1.44x Exceptional
Ethereum 3.27x 1.38x Exceptional
XRP 2.01x 1.13x Strong
BNB 3.15x 1.28x Exceptional
Solana 3.18x 1.32x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.07x 1.49x Exceptional
TRON 1.50x 1.33x Ordinary
Cardano 3.11x 1.33x Exceptional
Chainlink 3.60x 1.48x Exceptional
Sui 3.19x 1.36x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 2.58x 1.31x Strong
Hedera 2.68x 1.32x Exceptional
Avalanche 3.69x 1.44x Exceptional
Litecoin 2.95x 1.34x Exceptional
Gram 1.01x 1.01x Quiet
Shiba Inu 2.35x 1.30x Strong
Uniswap 2.34x 1.26x Strong
Polkadot 2.43x 1.27x Strong
Aave 2.38x 1.37x Strong
Bittensor 2.38x 1.33x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.00x 1.29x Strong
Aptos 2.66x 1.34x Strong
Internet Computer 3.97x 1.11x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.07x 1.29x Quiet
Filecoin 3.07x 1.34x Exceptional

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for Solana

Questions about this page

Is 3.18x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.32x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Solana moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.