How NEAR Protocol reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 27 January 2022

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, NEAR Protocol's price swung 1.66 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.29 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.34% higher.

1.66x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
0.91x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.25x
Price at 8:30 AM
$11.640
15 minutes later
−1.29%
One hour later
+0.34%
range 2.92%, hour before 4.21%
NEAR/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
10.980
Close
10.460
24h change
-4.97%
24h high
11.770
24h low
9.940
24h volume
17.831M NEAR

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 27 January 2022 at 8:30 AM EST. Durable Goods Orders came in at 3.3% for December 2021, against 1.9% in November 2021. Durable goods orders are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How NEAR Protocol moved

NEAR Protocol was at $11.640 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.29% lower, and an hour later 0.34% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.92% of its price, against 4.21% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

NEAR Protocol's volatility ratio was 1.66x, against 1.29x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.91x, against a typical 1.25x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved NEAR Protocol about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.26x across 20, against 1.29x across 46. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 26 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.66x compares with 1.29x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 66 Durable Orders releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's median volatility ratio is 1.29x.

How it compares

Across 66 Durable Orders releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's usual price swing is 1.29x. This one was 1.28 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.29x. Thick line: this release, 1.66x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 11.65 11.58 11.58 -0.52% 0.60% 0.60% 22,503 NEAR
5 minutes 11.65 11.43 11.43 -1.84% 1.89% 1.55% 91,610 NEAR
10 minutes 11.65 11.37 11.44 -1.75% 2.40% 2.23% 128,251 NEAR
15 minutes 11.65 11.37 11.49 -1.31% 2.40% 2.58% 147,463 NEAR
30 minutes 11.65 11.37 11.59 -0.43% 2.40% 3.18% 259,159 NEAR
1 hour 11.71 11.37 11.68 0.34% 2.90% 4.21% 602,466 NEAR
2 hours 11.77 11.37 11.43 -1.84% 3.40% 4.21% 1.316M NEAR
4 hours 11.77 11.06 11.20 -3.93% 6.03% 4.72% 2.587M NEAR
6 hours 11.77 10.98 11.03 -5.53% 6.71% 7.38% 3.876M NEAR
8 hours 11.77 11.06 11.20 -1.34% 6.03% 7.75% 4.708M NEAR
12 hours 11.77 9.94 10.46 -11.28% 15.55% 10.04% 10.361M NEAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 0.81x 1.44x Quiet
Ethereum 1.04x 1.38x Quiet
XRP 0.92x 1.13x Quiet
BNB 0.95x 1.28x Quiet
Solana 1.36x 1.32x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.27x 1.49x Quiet
TRON 1.15x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 0.98x 1.33x Quiet
Chainlink 1.07x 1.48x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 0.94x 1.31x Quiet
Hedera 0.91x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 0.86x 1.44x Quiet
Litecoin 1.12x 1.34x Quiet
Shiba Inu 0.77x 1.30x Quiet
Uniswap 1.56x 1.26x Ordinary
Polkadot 0.93x 1.27x Quiet
Aave 1.09x 1.37x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.66x 1.29x Ordinary
Internet Computer 0.96x 1.11x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.41x 1.29x Quiet
Filecoin 1.34x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for NEAR Protocol

Questions about this page

Is 1.66x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.29x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range NEAR Protocol moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.