How Filecoin reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 7 April 2026

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Filecoin's price swung 0.60 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.34 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.23% higher.

0.60x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
0.47x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.861
15 minutes later
−0.12%
One hour later
+0.23%
range 1.05%, hour before 1.97%
FIL/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.858
Close
0.912
24h change
5.92%
24h high
0.929
24h low
0.842
24h volume
9.212M FIL

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 7 April 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at -1.3% for February 2026, against -0.4% in January 2026. Durable goods orders are falling faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Filecoin's volatility ratio was 0.60x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.47x, against a typical 1.56x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Filecoin moved

Filecoin was at $0.861 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.12% lower, and an hour later 0.23% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.05% of its price, against 1.97% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Filecoin less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.14x across 20, against 1.38x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 0.60x compares with 1.38x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Filecoin's usual price swing is 1.34x. This one was 0.45 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.34x. Thick line: this release, 0.60x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.861 0.86 0.861 0.00% 0.12% 0.00% 319 FIL
5 minutes 0.862 0.86 0.86 -0.12% 0.23% 0.12% 3,841 FIL
10 minutes 0.862 0.86 0.861 0.00% 0.23% 0.46% 5,868 FIL
15 minutes 0.862 0.859 0.86 -0.12% 0.35% 0.46% 23,629 FIL
30 minutes 0.864 0.859 0.862 0.12% 0.58% 1.73% 144,341 FIL
1 hour 0.868 0.859 0.863 0.23% 1.04% 1.96% 286,752 FIL
2 hours 0.868 0.852 0.859 -0.23% 1.84% 1.96% 1.169M FIL
4 hours 0.868 0.842 0.853 -0.94% 3.00% 2.74% 2.131M FIL
6 hours 0.868 0.842 0.861 0.00% 3.00% 2.74% 2.561M FIL
8 hours 0.876 0.842 0.853 -0.94% 3.88% 1.62% 3.203M FIL
12 hours 0.929 0.842 0.912 5.59% 9.36% 2.85% 6.741M FIL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 0.90x 1.44x Quiet
Ethereum 1.42x 1.38x Quiet
XRP Not measured 1.13x -
BNB 0.60x 1.28x Quiet
Solana 0.82x 1.32x Quiet
Dogecoin 0.63x 1.49x Quiet
TRON 1.01x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 0.50x 1.33x Quiet
Chainlink 2.01x 1.48x Strong
Sui 1.05x 1.36x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.00x 1.31x Quiet
Hedera 1.00x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.00x 1.44x Quiet
Litecoin 0.95x 1.34x Quiet
Gram Not measured 1.01x -
Shiba Inu 0.67x 1.30x Quiet
Uniswap 1.00x 1.26x Quiet
Polkadot 1.07x 1.27x Quiet
Aave 1.16x 1.37x Quiet
Bittensor 1.01x 1.33x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 0.00x 1.29x Quiet
Aptos 0.76x 1.34x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.00x 1.11x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.66x 1.29x Quiet
Filecoin 0.60x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for Filecoin

Questions about this page

Is 0.60x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Filecoin moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.