How Gram reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 26 September 2024

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Gram's price swung 1.68 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.01 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.17% higher.

1.68x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
4.07x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.86x
Price at 8:30 AM
$5.780
15 minutes later
+0.17%
One hour later
+0.17%
range 1.56%, hour before 1.21%
GRAM/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
5.700
Close
5.800
24h change
1.72%
24h high
5.940
24h low
5.620
24h volume
9.291M GRAM

Measured by Clometrix

Gram's volatility ratio was 1.68x, against 1.01x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.07x, against a typical 1.86x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Gram moved

Gram was at $5.780 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.17% higher, and an hour later 0.17% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.56% of its price, against 1.21% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 26 September 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at -1.1% for August 2024, against 4.3% in July 2024. Durable goods orders are falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Gram about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.01x across 7, against 1.01x across 16. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.68x compares with 1.01x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 23 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Gram's median volatility ratio is 1.01x.

How it compares

Across 23 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Gram's usual price swing is 1.01x. This one was 1.66 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.01x. Thick line: this release, 1.68x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 5.80 5.78 5.79 0.17% 0.34% 0.17% 7,443 GRAM
5 minutes 5.80 5.75 5.78 0.00% 0.86% 0.34% 201,053 GRAM
10 minutes 5.80 5.75 5.76 -0.35% 0.86% 0.52% 246,702 GRAM
15 minutes 5.80 5.75 5.79 0.17% 0.86% 0.52% 268,654 GRAM
30 minutes 5.82 5.75 5.81 0.52% 1.20% 0.86% 390,673 GRAM
1 hour 5.84 5.75 5.79 0.17% 1.54% 1.20% 542,166 GRAM
2 hours 5.84 5.75 5.78 0.00% 1.54% 1.37% 928,659 GRAM
4 hours 5.93 5.75 5.92 2.36% 3.04% 2.05% 2.375M GRAM
6 hours 5.94 5.74 5.78 0.00% 3.37% 2.38% 3.885M GRAM
8 hours 5.93 5.74 5.92 1.35% 3.20% 4.42% 4.269M GRAM
12 hours 5.94 5.74 5.80 0.34% 3.37% 4.42% 4.953M GRAM

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 2.07x 1.44x Strong
Ethereum 1.48x 1.38x Quiet
XRP 1.38x 1.13x Quiet
BNB 1.64x 1.28x Ordinary
Solana 1.80x 1.32x Strong
Dogecoin 1.11x 1.49x Quiet
TRON 1.49x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.47x 1.33x Quiet
Chainlink 1.89x 1.48x Ordinary
Sui 1.02x 1.36x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 0.92x 1.31x Quiet
Hedera 1.63x 1.32x Ordinary
Avalanche 1.64x 1.44x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.31x 1.34x Quiet
Gram 1.68x 1.01x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.09x 1.30x Quiet
Uniswap 1.51x 1.26x Ordinary
Polkadot 1.50x 1.27x Ordinary
Aave 1.15x 1.37x Quiet
Bittensor 1.16x 1.33x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.23x 1.29x Quiet
Aptos 1.35x 1.34x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.66x 1.11x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.65x 1.29x Exceptional
Filecoin 2.48x 1.34x Strong

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for Gram

Questions about this page

Is 1.68x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is strong: the usual is 1.01x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Gram moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.