How Litecoin reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 24 August 2023

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Litecoin's price swung 1.49 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.34 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.18% lower.

1.49x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
1.18x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.42x
Price at 8:30 AM
$65.37
15 minutes later
+0.02%
One hour later
−0.18%
range 0.47%, hour before 0.96%
LTC/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
65.58
Close
64.57
24h change
-1.56%
24h high
65.90
24h low
63.90
24h volume
353,879 LTC

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 24 August 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at -3.5% for July 2023, against 4.9% in June 2023. Durable goods orders are falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Litecoin's volatility ratio was 1.49x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.18x, against a typical 1.42x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Litecoin moved

Litecoin was at $65.37 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.18% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.47% of its price, against 0.96% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Litecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.24x across 20, against 1.41x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.49x compares with 1.41x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Litecoin's usual price swing is 1.34x. This one was 1.11 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.34x. Thick line: this release, 1.49x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 65.37 65.31 65.33 -0.06% 0.09% 0.05% 179 LTC
5 minutes 65.38 65.31 65.36 -0.02% 0.11% 0.17% 679 LTC
10 minutes 65.38 65.17 65.33 -0.06% 0.32% 0.26% 2,933 LTC
15 minutes 65.41 65.17 65.38 0.02% 0.37% 0.31% 3,422 LTC
30 minutes 65.45 65.17 65.35 -0.03% 0.43% 0.53% 8,074 LTC
1 hour 65.45 65.14 65.25 -0.18% 0.47% 0.96% 13,983 LTC
2 hours 65.45 64.93 64.95 -0.65% 0.79% 0.96% 42,523 LTC
4 hours 65.45 64.20 64.65 -1.11% 1.91% 0.96% 103,717 LTC
6 hours 65.45 64.14 64.57 -1.24% 2.00% 0.99% 145,106 LTC
8 hours 65.81 64.20 64.65 -1.38% 2.45% 0.94% 154,959 LTC
12 hours 65.45 63.90 64.57 -1.24% 2.37% 1.09% 228,524 LTC

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 1.06x 1.44x Quiet
Ethereum 0.88x 1.38x Quiet
XRP 0.73x 1.13x Quiet
BNB 1.00x 1.28x Quiet
Solana 1.24x 1.32x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.45x 1.49x Quiet
TRON 0.56x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.00x 1.33x Quiet
Chainlink 1.01x 1.48x Quiet
Sui 0.72x 1.36x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 0.80x 1.31x Quiet
Hedera 1.29x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.00x 1.44x Quiet
Litecoin 1.49x 1.34x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.01x 1.30x Quiet
Uniswap 1.01x 1.26x Quiet
Polkadot 1.00x 1.27x Quiet
Aave 1.01x 1.37x Quiet
NEAR Protocol Not measured 1.29x -
Aptos 0.50x 1.34x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.97x 1.11x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.01x 1.29x Quiet
Filecoin 0.98x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for Litecoin

Questions about this page

Is 1.49x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Litecoin moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.