How Cardano reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 25 September 2026

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Cardano's price swung 1.70 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.33 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.31% lower.

1.70x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
4.51x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.34x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.2559
15 minutes later
+0.43%
One hour later
−0.31%
range 1.37%, hour before 2.77%
ADA/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.2495
Close
0.2576
24h change
3.14%
24h high
0.2598
24h low
0.2462
24h volume
222.624M ADA

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 25 September 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at 0.0% for August 2026, against 1.1% in July 2026. Durable goods orders are falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Cardano moved

Cardano was at $0.2559 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.43% higher, and an hour later 0.31% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.37% of its price, against 2.77% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Cardano's volatility ratio was 1.70x, against 1.33x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.51x, against a typical 1.34x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Cardano about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.24x across 19, against 1.33x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.70x compares with 1.33x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 68 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Cardano's median volatility ratio is 1.33x.

How it compares

Across 68 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Cardano's usual price swing is 1.33x. This one was 1.28 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.33x. Thick line: this release, 1.70x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.257 0.2558 0.2566 0.27% 0.47% 0.20% 803,919 ADA
5 minutes 0.2573 0.2554 0.2565 0.23% 0.74% 0.74% 2.984M ADA
10 minutes 0.2586 0.2554 0.2583 0.93% 1.24% 1.76% 5.177M ADA
15 minutes 0.2586 0.2554 0.257 0.43% 1.24% 1.99% 8.05M ADA
30 minutes 0.2586 0.2554 0.2575 0.62% 1.24% 2.49% 11.887M ADA
1 hour 0.2586 0.2551 0.2551 -0.31% 1.35% 2.75% 19.637M ADA
2 hours 0.2586 0.2506 0.2519 -1.59% 3.09% 2.75% 39.223M ADA
4 hours 0.2586 0.2506 0.2566 0.27% 3.09% 2.87% 68.287M ADA
6 hours 0.2586 0.2506 0.2549 -0.39% 3.09% 4.50% 86.714M ADA
8 hours 0.2586 0.2504 0.2566 1.52% 3.17% 2.80% 118.103M ADA
12 hours 0.2598 0.2506 0.2576 0.66% 3.54% 4.50% 128.786M ADA

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 1.06x 1.44x Quiet
Ethereum 1.15x 1.38x Quiet
XRP 1.93x 1.13x Strong
BNB 1.08x 1.28x Quiet
Solana 1.57x 1.32x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.90x 1.49x Ordinary
TRON 1.33x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.70x 1.33x Ordinary
Chainlink 1.48x 1.48x Quiet
Sui 1.79x 1.36x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.15x 1.31x Quiet
Hedera 1.43x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.10x 1.44x Quiet
Litecoin 1.12x 1.34x Quiet
Gram 1.00x 1.01x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.24x 1.30x Quiet
Uniswap 1.76x 1.26x Strong
Polkadot 0.99x 1.27x Quiet
Aave 1.39x 1.37x Quiet
Bittensor 1.46x 1.33x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.31x 1.29x Quiet
Aptos 1.26x 1.34x Quiet
Internet Computer 0.68x 1.11x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.50x 1.29x Strong
Filecoin 1.02x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for Cardano

Questions about this page

Is 1.70x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.33x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Cardano moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.