How NEAR Protocol reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 26 August 2024

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, NEAR Protocol's price swung 2.63 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.29 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.82% lower.

2.63x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
1.31x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.25x
Price at 8:30 AM
$4.900
15 minutes later
−1.22%
One hour later
−0.82%
range 2.04%, hour before 1.43%
NEAR/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
4.950
Close
4.840
24h change
-2.27%
24h high
4.990
24h low
4.700
24h volume
8.267M NEAR

Measured by Clometrix

NEAR Protocol's volatility ratio was 2.63x, against 1.29x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.31x, against a typical 1.25x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How NEAR Protocol moved

NEAR Protocol was at $4.900 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.22% lower, and an hour later 0.82% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.04% of its price, against 1.43% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 26 August 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at 4.3% for July 2024, against -2.0% in June 2024. Durable goods orders are rising again, after a fall.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved NEAR Protocol about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.26x across 20, against 1.29x across 46. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.63x compares with 1.29x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 66 Durable Orders releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's median volatility ratio is 1.29x.

How it compares

Across 66 Durable Orders releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's usual price swing is 1.29x. This one was 2.04 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.29x. Thick line: this release, 2.63x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 4.90 4.89 4.90 0.00% 0.20% 0.00% 2,239 NEAR
5 minutes 4.91 4.88 4.88 -0.41% 0.61% 0.20% 16,339 NEAR
10 minutes 4.91 4.85 4.85 -1.03% 1.22% 0.41% 43,501 NEAR
15 minutes 4.91 4.83 4.84 -1.24% 1.63% 0.81% 85,559 NEAR
30 minutes 4.91 4.81 4.85 -1.03% 2.04% 0.81% 247,954 NEAR
1 hour 4.91 4.81 4.86 -0.82% 2.04% 1.41% 420,483 NEAR
2 hours 4.92 4.81 4.84 -1.24% 2.24% 1.41% 1.298M NEAR
4 hours 4.92 4.77 4.81 -1.87% 3.05% 2.62% 2.321M NEAR
6 hours 4.92 4.70 4.79 -2.30% 4.47% 2.62% 3.386M NEAR
8 hours 4.96 4.77 4.81 -1.87% 3.83% 3.01% 3.475M NEAR
12 hours 4.92 4.70 4.84 -1.24% 4.47% 3.21% 5.044M NEAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 1.51x 1.44x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.86x 1.38x Strong
XRP 3.70x 1.13x Exceptional
BNB 1.39x 1.28x Quiet
Solana 1.44x 1.32x Quiet
Dogecoin 2.56x 1.49x Strong
TRON 1.94x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 2.05x 1.33x Strong
Chainlink 1.12x 1.48x Quiet
Sui 2.09x 1.36x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.13x 1.31x Strong
Hedera 2.04x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 1.76x 1.44x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.52x 1.34x Ordinary
Gram 0.81x 1.01x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.67x 1.30x Ordinary
Uniswap 2.26x 1.26x Strong
Polkadot 1.96x 1.27x Strong
Aave 1.46x 1.37x Quiet
Bittensor 1.35x 1.33x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 2.63x 1.29x Exceptional
Aptos 1.21x 1.34x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.99x 1.11x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.07x 1.29x Strong
Filecoin 1.49x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for NEAR Protocol

Questions about this page

Is 2.63x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.29x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range NEAR Protocol moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.