BTC Volatility Analysis for CPI, 13th January 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 13 January 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.3% for December 2025, against 0.3% in September 2025. Consumer prices are rising at the same pace as before.

It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $92,139.99 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.07% higher, and an hour later 0.32% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.89% of its price, against 0.19% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.39x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.78x, against a typical 6.92x. That is a muted reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.39x compares with 3.99x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.

What it means

Bitcoin registered a muted reaction to the December CPI release. Volatility rose only 2.39 times its baseline in the quarter hour after the print, well below the 4.28 times median recorded across 70 CPI releases since 2021. The price advanced 0.07 percent in the first fifteen minutes and 0.32 percent after an hour, while the hourly range reached 0.89 percent of spot against 0.19 percent beforehand.

The index printed 0.3 percent month over month, unchanged from three months earlier, and arrived together with the core CPI and core inflation readings. It fell fourteen days before the Federal Reserve's January policy meeting and therefore outside the two-week window in which CPI has produced larger Bitcoin moves. Releases inside that window have carried a median volatility ratio of 4.75 times, compared with 3.99 times at other times.

Volume expanded 5.78 times, also below the 6.92 times typical for the event, so the outcome sat beneath what the calendar position alone would have indicated.

About Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

91,327.53

Close

95,480.57

24h Change

4153.04 (4.35%)

24h High

96,495.00

24h Low

91,042.66

24h Volume

23,450 BTC

US Consumer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

13th January, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before92093.9992140.0092093.9892139.990.05%0.05%6 BTC
During92139.9992578.0092130.7792276.000.15%0.48%323 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before92027.5292140.0092027.5292139.990.12%0.12%30 BTC
During92139.9992606.4292115.2092284.000.16%0.53%645 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before92000.0192140.0092000.0192139.990.15%0.15%52 BTC
During92139.9992606.4292099.8892099.88-0.04%0.55%839 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before92006.4392140.0092000.0192139.990.14%0.15%68 BTC
During92139.9992606.4292052.7292204.370.07%0.60%1,011 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before92109.3592140.0091978.6692139.990.03%0.18%173 BTC
During92139.9992606.4292052.7292076.12-0.07%0.60%1,163 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before92074.5092153.8491978.6692139.990.07%0.19%306 BTC
During92139.9992606.4291787.6192433.630.32%0.88%1,595 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before92204.6392204.6391910.2592139.99-0.07%0.32%665 BTC
During92139.9992915.1291787.6192397.130.28%1.21%2,948 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before92550.7892577.0191910.2592139.99-0.45%0.72%1,799 BTC
During92139.9993760.0091787.6193414.951.36%2.10%6,183 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before92029.2192672.1191905.3392139.990.12%0.83%3,324 BTC
During92139.9993871.2991787.6193858.391.83%2.22%7,894 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before91327.5392672.1191042.6692550.781.32%1.76%4,539 BTC
During92550.7893760.0091787.6193414.950.93%2.10%7,982 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before91327.5392672.1191042.6692139.990.88%1.76%6,338 BTC
During92139.9996495.0091787.6195480.573.50%4.88%17,112 BTC

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