How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to Continued Jobless Claims on 16 July 2026

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 16 July 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. Continued Jobless Claims fell to 1796K for the week ending 4th Jul, from 1805K in the week ending 27th Jun.

It arrived at the same moment as Retail Sales, Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles and Initial Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 1.20x, against 1.42x for a typical Continued Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.11x, against a typical 1.56x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $0.0834 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.14% lower, and an hour later 0.3% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.62% of its price, against 0.54% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Continued Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.49x across 90, against 1.39x across 201. This one came out 13 days before the Federal Reserve's 29 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.20x compares with 1.49x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 291 Continued Claims releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.42x. This one was 0.84 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Continued Claims's usual, 1.42x. Thick line: this release, 1.20x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After	High	Low	Close	Change	Range	Range before	Volume
1 minute	0.0834	0.08331	0.08338	-0.02%	0.11%	0.08%	82,290 POL
5 minutes	0.08347	0.08331	0.08345	0.06%	0.19%	0.11%	168,445 POL
10 minutes	0.0835	0.08327	0.08327	-0.16%	0.28%	0.30%	221,727 POL
15 minutes	0.0835	0.08321	0.08328	-0.14%	0.35%	0.31%	314,238 POL
30 minutes	0.0835	0.08319	0.08342	0.02%	0.37%	0.38%	735,341 POL
1 hour	0.08371	0.08319	0.08365	0.30%	0.62%	0.54%	1.174M POL
2 hours	0.08439	0.08319	0.08429	1.06%	1.42%	0.81%	2.973M POL
4 hours	0.08441	0.08254	0.08283	-0.69%	2.22%	1.34%	7.261M POL
6 hours	0.08441	0.08254	0.08283	-0.69%	2.22%	1.87%	8.662M POL
8 hours	0.08441	0.08254	0.08283	0.19%	2.22%	1.18%	12.243M POL
12 hours	0.08441	0.08142	0.08188	-1.86%	3.54%	1.87%	23.102M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin	Price swing	Usual for Continued Claims	Reaction
Bitcoin	2.58x	1.52x	Strong
Ethereum	2.92x	1.47x	Strong
XRP	Not measured	1.18x	-
BNB	2.19x	1.42x	Strong
Solana	2.51x	1.39x	Strong
Dogecoin	2.49x	1.39x	Strong
TRON	1.34x	1.33x	Quiet
Cardano	2.17x	1.35x	Strong
Chainlink	2.01x	1.43x	Strong
Sui	2.06x	1.24x	Strong
Bitcoin Cash	2.12x	1.34x	Strong
Hedera	3.17x	1.32x	Exceptional
Avalanche	3.03x	1.42x	Exceptional
Litecoin	1.52x	1.38x	Ordinary
Gram	0.00x	1.02x	Quiet
Shiba Inu	1.52x	1.34x	Ordinary
Uniswap	2.97x	1.35x	Exceptional
Polkadot	1.52x	1.31x	Ordinary
Aave	1.46x	1.38x	Quiet
Bittensor	2.07x	1.41x	Strong
NEAR Protocol	1.00x	1.24x	Quiet
Aptos	2.37x	1.41x	Strong
Internet Computer	1.01x	1.46x	Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC)	1.20x	1.42x	Quiet
Filecoin	2.38x	1.27x	Strong

What is Continued Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Continued claims, also referred to as insured unemployment, is the number of people who have already filed an initial claim and who have experienced a week of unemployment and then filed a continued claim to claim benefits for that week of unemployment. Continued claims data are based on the week of unemployment, not the week when the initial claim was filed.

Every Continued Claims release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Questions about this page

Is 1.20x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Continued Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past Continued Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.