BTC Volatility Analysis for Balance of Trade, 3rd July 2025

Data Analysis

The data released by Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis for International Trade Balance in Goods and Services on 3rd July, 2025 has come in at a decrease to -$71.7B for May 2025. Compared to the previous release for April 2025 at -$60.3B, we can see that foreign trade is still decreasing month over month.

To see the impact and volatility of BTC's price during the Balance of Trade release, we will first observe the difference in volume and price changes on the 4-hours chart, followed by the 15-minutes chart. Change in prices will be be determined by the high and low prices instead of the opening and closing prices.

4-Hours Chart Analysis

In the period prior to the release, the trading volume was 3,196 BTC with prices swinging between 109,377.57 and 110,273.21, representing a swing of 0.81%. Subsequently, the trading volume increased by 34% to 4,289 BTC. Price action ranged from a low of 108,749.99 to a high of 110,529.18, a significant difference of 1.61%

15-Minutes Chart Analysis

Analysing on a lower time frame to get a more accurate picture, 79 BTC in trading volume was observed prior to the data release. Prices ranged between a low of 109,554.17 to a high of 109,621.13, a 0.06% change. Immediately following, trading volume increased significantly by 714% to 643 BTC. At this time, Bitcoin hit a low of 108,800.00 with a high of 109,916.00, a significant change of 1.02%.

About International Trade Balance in Goods and Services

The balance of trade (BOT) measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the difference between the value of a country's imports and exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move in and out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy. When exports are higher than imports, it tends to boost GDP. In the opposite scenario, it creates a trade deficit.