ETH Volatility Analysis for Balance of Trade, 6th July 2018

Data Analysis

The data released by Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis for International Trade Balance in Goods and Services on 6th July, 2018 has come in at an increase to -$41.6B for May 2018. Compared to the previous release for April 2018 at -$46.3B, we can see that foreign trade has decreased but at a slower rate month over month.

To see the impact and volatility of ETH's price during the Balance of Trade release, we will first observe the difference in volume and price changes on the 4-hours chart, followed by the 15-minutes chart. Change in prices will be be determined by the high and low prices instead of the opening and closing prices.

4-Hours Chart Analysis

In the period prior to the release, the trading volume was 22,311 ETH with prices swinging between 455.65 and 469.59, representing a swing of 2.97%. Subsequently, the trading volume decreased by 36% to 14,171 ETH. Price action ranged from a low of 465.43 to a high of 470.56, a difference of 1.09%

15-Minutes Chart Analysis

Analysing on a lower time frame to get a more accurate picture, 1,400 ETH in trading volume was observed prior to the data release. Prices ranged between a low of 466.60 to a high of 469.00, a 0.51% change. Immediately following, trading volume remain relatively similar at 1,447 ETH. At this time, Ethereum hit a low of 465.43 with a high of 468.14, a change of 0.58%.

About International Trade Balance in Goods and Services

The balance of trade (BOT) measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the difference between the value of a country's imports and exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move in and out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy. When exports are higher than imports, it tends to boost GDP. In the opposite scenario, it creates a trade deficit.