BTC Volatility Analysis for Balance of Trade, 4th November 2025

Data Analysis

The data released by Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis for International Trade Balance in Goods and Services on 4th November, 2025 has come in at a decrease to $0M for September 2025. Compared to the previous release for August 2025 at -$59.6B, we can see that foreign trade is still decreasing month over month.

To see the impact and volatility of BTC's price during the Balance of Trade release, we will first observe the difference in volume and price changes on the 4-hours chart, followed by the 15-minutes chart. Change in prices will be be determined by the high and low prices instead of the opening and closing prices.

4-Hours Chart Analysis

In the period prior to the release, the trading volume was 4,560 BTC with prices swinging between 103,576.00 and 104,699.07, representing a swing of 1.07%. Subsequently, the trading volume increased significantly by 166% to 12,126 BTC. Price action ranged from a low of 100,800.00 to a high of 104,842.63, a significant difference of 3.86%

15-Minutes Chart Analysis

Analysing on a lower time frame to get a more accurate picture, 352 BTC in trading volume was observed prior to the data release. Prices ranged between a low of 103,576.00 to a high of 103,975.21, a 0.38% change. Immediately following, trading volume decreased by 18% to 287 BTC. At this time, Bitcoin hit a low of 103,662.70 with a high of 104,243.67, a change of 0.56%.

About International Trade Balance in Goods and Services

The balance of trade (BOT) measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the difference between the value of a country's imports and exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move in and out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy. When exports are higher than imports, it tends to boost GDP. In the opposite scenario, it creates a trade deficit.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

106,898.42

Close

99,113.39

24h Change

-7785.03 (-7.85%)

24h High

107,299.00

24h Low

98,944.36

24h Volume

51,394 BTC

US International Trade Balance in Goods and Services

Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis

4th November, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before103644.24103727.31103644.24103685.540.04%0.08%11 BTC
During103685.53103779.54103662.70103764.140.08%0.11%15 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before103810.79103815.66103576.00103685.54-0.12%0.23%229 BTC
During103685.53103963.31103662.70103963.310.27%0.29%97 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before103940.37103974.19103576.00103685.54-0.25%0.38%301 BTC
During103685.53104162.43103662.70104111.920.41%0.48%179 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before103844.24103975.21103576.00103685.54-0.15%0.38%352 BTC
During103685.53104243.67103662.70104193.560.49%0.56%287 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before103952.54104085.52103576.00103685.54-0.26%0.49%578 BTC
During103685.53104243.67103662.70103924.250.23%0.56%441 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before104121.42104129.21103576.00103685.54-0.42%0.53%1,171 BTC
During103685.53104243.67103662.70103783.350.09%0.56%906 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before104310.09104699.07103576.00103685.54-0.60%1.07%2,185 BTC
During103685.53104842.63102915.05104466.010.75%1.84%4,332 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before103878.13104699.07103576.00103685.54-0.19%1.07%4,560 BTC
During103685.53104842.63100800.00101356.75-2.30%3.86%12,126 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before104370.73104736.71103576.00103685.54-0.66%1.11%7,872 BTC
During103685.53104842.63100010.73101306.87-2.35%4.61%18,156 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before106898.42107299.00103666.00103878.13-2.91%3.39%12,872 BTC
During103878.13104842.63100800.00101356.75-2.49%3.86%16,685 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before106898.42107299.00103576.00103685.54-3.10%3.47%17,432 BTC
During103685.53104842.6398944.3699113.39-4.61%5.63%33,962 BTC

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