Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Census on 16 January 2020 at 8:30 AM EST. Retail Sales came in at 0.3% for December 2019, against 0.7% in November 2019. Retail sales are still rising, but more slowly than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles, Import Price Index, Export Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 0.97x, against 1.43x for a typical Retail Sales release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.16x, against a typical 1.51x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $161.56 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.17% higher, and an hour later 0.07% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.07% of its price, against 1.99% in the hour before.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Retail Sales releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.39x across 27, against 1.43x across 43. This one came out 13 days before the Federal Reserve's 29 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.97x compares with 1.39x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
About Retail Sales
The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Retail Sales report every month. It is a measure of consumer spending, an important indicator of the US GDP. Retail firms provide data on the dollar value of their retail sales and inventories. A sample of 12,000 firms is included in the final survey and 5,000 in the advanced one. The advanced estimated data is based on a subsample from the USCB complete retail & food services sample.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
162.02Close
163.7924h Change
1.77 (1.08%)24h High
165.8824h Low
157.8024h Volume
423,909 ETHUS Retail Sales
Bureau of Census
16th January, 2020, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 161.54 | 161.64 | 161.44 | 161.54 | 0.00% | 0.12% | 396 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 161.60 | 161.44 | 161.52 | -0.02% | 0.10% | 134 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 161.92 | 162.04 | 161.44 | 161.54 | -0.24% | 0.37% | 1,586 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 161.60 | 161.01 | 161.16 | -0.25% | 0.37% | 986 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 161.33 | 162.04 | 161.24 | 161.54 | 0.13% | 0.49% | 2,735 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 161.62 | 161.01 | 161.28 | -0.17% | 0.38% | 2,938 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 161.62 | 162.04 | 161.00 | 161.54 | -0.05% | 0.64% | 5,138 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 161.90 | 161.01 | 161.84 | 0.17% | 0.55% | 3,954 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 162.55 | 162.86 | 161.00 | 161.54 | -0.63% | 1.14% | 14,106 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 161.90 | 161.01 | 161.71 | 0.09% | 0.55% | 7,900 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 164.19 | 164.22 | 161.00 | 161.54 | -1.64% | 1.96% | 26,257 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 161.93 | 160.20 | 161.44 | -0.07% | 1.07% | 19,494 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 162.14 | 165.62 | 161.00 | 161.54 | -0.37% | 2.79% | 61,726 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 163.20 | 160.20 | 163.05 | 0.91% | 1.84% | 32,171 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 159.73 | 165.62 | 159.70 | 161.54 | 1.12% | 3.57% | 93,565 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 163.80 | 160.20 | 163.37 | 1.11% | 2.20% | 78,136 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 160.84 | 165.62 | 159.65 | 161.54 | 0.43% | 3.60% | 117,104 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 164.26 | 160.20 | 163.76 | 1.34% | 2.47% | 100,807 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 162.02 | 162.60 | 157.80 | 159.75 | -1.42% | 2.95% | 141,456 ETH |
| During | 159.73 | 165.62 | 159.70 | 163.37 | 2.23% | 3.57% | 171,701 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 162.02 | 165.62 | 157.80 | 161.54 | -0.30% | 4.72% | 235,021 ETH |
| During | 161.56 | 165.88 | 160.20 | 163.79 | 1.36% | 3.42% | 188,888 ETH |
