BTC Volatility Analysis for Retail Sales Ex Autos, 16th March 2021

Data Analysis

The data released by Bureau of Census for Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles on 16th March, 2021 has come in at a decrease to -2.3% for February 2021. Compared to the previous release for January 2021 at 4.1%, we can see that consumer sentiment is still decreasing month over month.

To see the impact and volatility of BTC's price during the Retail Sales Ex Autos release, we will first observe the difference in volume and price changes on the 4-hours chart, followed by the 15-minutes chart. Change in prices will be be determined by the high and low prices instead of the opening and closing prices.

4-Hours Chart Analysis

In the period prior to the release, the trading volume was 11,270 BTC with prices swinging between 55,000.37 and 56,400.00, representing a swing of 2.48%. Subsequently, the trading volume increased by 10% to 12,405 BTC. Price action ranged from a low of 54,596.89 to a high of 56,087.02, a difference of 2.66%

15-Minutes Chart Analysis

Analysing on a lower time frame to get a more accurate picture, 660 BTC in trading volume was observed prior to the data release. Prices ranged between a low of 55,000.37 to a high of 55,399.57, a 0.72% change. Immediately following, trading volume increased by 42% to 937 BTC. At this time, Bitcoin hit a low of 54,777.00 with a high of 55,249.20, a change of 0.85%.

About Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Retail Sales report every month. It is a measure of consumer spending excluding the automobile sector. Retail firms provide data on the dollar value of their retail sales and inventories. A sample of 12,000 firms is included in the final survey and 5,000 in the advanced one. The advanced estimated data is based on a subsample from the USCB complete retail & food services sample.