Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Census on 14 December 2018 at 8:30 AM EST. The Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles came in at 0.3% for November 2018, against 1.1% in October 2018. Retail sales excluding autos are still rising, but more slowly than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Retail Sales, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 0.79x, against 1.43x for a typical Retail Sales Ex Autos release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.74x, against a typical 1.51x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $85.94 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.07% lower, and an hour later 0.22% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.21% of its price, against 0.67% in the hour before.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Retail Sales Ex Autos releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.39x across 27, against 1.43x across 43. This one came out 5 days before the Federal Reserve's 19 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.79x compares with 1.39x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
About Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles
The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Retail Sales report every month. It is a measure of consumer spending excluding the automobile sector. Retail firms provide data on the dollar value of their retail sales and inventories. A sample of 12,000 firms is included in the final survey and 5,000 in the advanced one. The advanced estimated data is based on a subsample from the USCB complete retail & food services sample.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
86.68Close
84.1224h Change
-2.56 (-3.04%)24h High
86.9324h Low
82.2024h Volume
311,313 ETHUS Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles
Bureau of Census
14th December, 2018, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 85.95 | 85.98 | 85.92 | 85.94 | -0.01% | 0.07% | 62 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 85.98 | 85.90 | 85.92 | -0.02% | 0.09% | 95 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 86.00 | 86.01 | 85.92 | 85.94 | -0.07% | 0.10% | 559 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 85.98 | 85.80 | 85.85 | -0.10% | 0.21% | 675 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 86.12 | 86.14 | 85.92 | 85.94 | -0.21% | 0.26% | 1,217 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 86.08 | 85.80 | 85.96 | 0.02% | 0.33% | 1,256 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 86.07 | 86.14 | 85.92 | 85.94 | -0.15% | 0.26% | 1,468 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 86.08 | 85.75 | 85.88 | -0.07% | 0.38% | 1,824 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 86.33 | 86.35 | 85.92 | 85.94 | -0.45% | 0.50% | 2,716 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 86.08 | 85.19 | 85.72 | -0.26% | 1.03% | 6,168 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 86.14 | 86.50 | 85.92 | 85.94 | -0.23% | 0.67% | 7,421 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 86.23 | 85.19 | 85.75 | -0.22% | 1.21% | 14,331 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 85.96 | 86.50 | 85.30 | 85.94 | -0.02% | 1.39% | 20,060 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 86.23 | 85.19 | 85.68 | -0.30% | 1.21% | 23,435 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 85.56 | 86.50 | 85.30 | 85.94 | 0.44% | 1.39% | 36,529 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 86.23 | 83.54 | 83.89 | -2.44% | 3.12% | 71,690 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 86.34 | 86.63 | 85.04 | 85.94 | -0.47% | 1.84% | 61,932 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 86.23 | 83.38 | 83.83 | -2.52% | 3.31% | 103,620 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 86.68 | 86.93 | 85.04 | 85.59 | -1.27% | 2.17% | 80,429 ETH |
| During | 85.56 | 86.50 | 83.54 | 83.89 | -1.99% | 3.42% | 108,219 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 86.68 | 86.93 | 85.04 | 85.94 | -0.86% | 2.17% | 116,957 ETH |
| During | 85.94 | 86.23 | 82.20 | 84.12 | -2.16% | 4.67% | 194,356 ETH |
