BTC Volatility Analysis for PPI, 10th September 2026

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 5.77x, against 2.08x for a typical PPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 12.63x, against a typical 2.30x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $77,796.93 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.86% lower, and an hour later 1.11% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.65% of its price, against 0.51% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 10 September 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Producer Price Index came in at 0.4% for August 2026, against 0.0% in July 2026. Producer prices are rising again, after a fall.

It arrived at the same moment as Core Producer Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.18x across 29, against 2.05x across 41. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 16 September rate decision. Its own ratio of 5.77x compares with 2.18x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 PPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 2.08x.

What it means

Outsize reaction ahead of policy decision

Bitcoin recorded an exceptional response to the August Producer Price Index release. Volatility reached 5.77 times a normal quarter-hour level in the minutes after the print, well above the 2.08x median across 70 PPI releases since 2021. Volume expanded 12.63 times against the usual 2.30x. The price fell from $77,796.93 to a level 1.11 percent lower within the hour, while the high-to-low range widened to 1.65 percent from 0.51 percent beforehand.

The print arrived six days before the Federal Reserve's September rate decision. PPI releases in the two weeks before policy meetings have produced a median volatility ratio of 2.18x since 2021, yet this episode exceeded that benchmark substantially. The 0.4 percent month-over-month reading came alongside core PPI, initial claims and continued claims, so the measured move reflects the combined arrival.

Traders monitoring the next PPI release may observe that pre-meeting timing has not shifted the event's typical magnitude in the record, while individual releases can still produce volatility ratios more than twice the median when multiple data points coincide.

About Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output. It is a measure of inflation at the wholesale level that is compiled from thousands of indexes measuring producer prices by industry and product category. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

78,325.30

Close

76,848.85

24h Change

-1476.45 (-1.92%)

24h High

78,564.39

24h Low

76,464.00

24h Volume

15,352 BTC

US Producer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

10th September, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before77733.1577821.7877733.1577796.930.08%0.11%46 BTC
During77796.9377959.2077399.0077727.63-0.09%0.72%423 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before77729.8577821.7877700.0077796.930.09%0.16%84 BTC
During77796.9377959.2077337.3977371.28-0.55%0.80%720 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before77718.8477821.7877650.0077796.930.10%0.22%179 BTC
During77796.9377959.2077019.6377110.22-0.89%1.21%1,132 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before77823.7577836.0277650.0077796.93-0.03%0.24%384 BTC
During77796.9377959.2077019.6377130.25-0.86%1.21%1,316 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before77840.6477888.4577650.0077796.93-0.06%0.31%735 BTC
During77796.9377959.2076676.0776896.01-1.17%1.65%2,151 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before78004.0178050.0077650.0077796.93-0.27%0.51%926 BTC
During77796.9377959.2076676.0776934.00-1.12%1.65%2,768 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before77979.8778054.8477650.0077796.93-0.24%0.52%1,768 BTC
During77796.9377959.2076676.0777276.01-0.67%1.65%4,187 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before78170.7478229.2277650.0077796.93-0.48%0.74%2,769 BTC
During77796.9377959.2076676.0776932.00-1.12%1.65%5,611 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before78216.6478528.0177650.0077796.93-0.54%1.12%3,806 BTC
During77796.9377959.2076676.0777074.00-0.94%1.65%6,647 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before78325.3078564.3977906.4878170.73-0.20%0.84%3,537 BTC
During78170.7478229.2276676.0776932.00-1.61%1.99%8,380 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before78325.3078564.3977650.0077796.93-0.68%1.16%6,307 BTC
During77796.9377959.2076464.0076848.85-1.23%1.92%9,045 BTC

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