Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 16 July 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Producer Price Index came in at 0.0% for June 2025, against 0.3% in May 2025. Producer prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Core Producer Price Index, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $118,891.41 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.06% higher, and an hour later 0.08% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.57% of its price, against 0.18% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 1.73x, against 2.08x for a typical PPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.72x, against a typical 2.30x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, PPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.18x across 29, against 2.05x across 41. This one came out 14 days before the Federal Reserve's 30 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.73x compares with 2.18x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 PPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 2.08x.
What it means
Bitcoin registered an ordinary reaction to the June Producer Price Index release. The price stood at $118,891.41 at 8:30 AM EDT and rose just 0.06 percent in the first fifteen minutes before finishing the hour 0.08 percent lower. The hourly high-low range reached 0.57 percent, up from 0.18 percent beforehand, while volatility expanded 1.73 times and volume 1.72 times relative to a normal quarter-hour that day.
Those multiples sit below the 2.08x median volatility ratio recorded across seventy PPI releases since 2021 and the 2.30x median volume ratio. The print arrived fourteen days before the 30 July Federal Reserve decision, a window in which PPI has typically produced a 2.18x median volatility ratio. The smaller move therefore fell short of what the surrounding calendar context would normally generate.
Traders watching the next PPI release can note that even a figure arriving close to a policy meeting does not guarantee elevated price action. The record shows only that volatility and volume tend to rise modestly on average, with the magnitude varying release by release.
About Producer Price Index
The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output. It is a measure of inflation at the wholesale level that is compiled from thousands of indexes measuring producer prices by industry and product category. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
117,584.27Close
118,863.0124h Change
1278.74 (1.08%)24h High
120,063.8424h Low
117,017.2924h Volume
16,988 BTCUS Producer Price Index
Bureau of Labor Statistics
16th July, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 118889.35 | 118899.00 | 118889.34 | 118891.42 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 13 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 118994.38 | 118866.87 | 118866.87 | -0.02% | 0.11% | 41 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 118832.53 | 118899.00 | 118806.01 | 118891.42 | 0.05% | 0.08% | 33 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 118994.38 | 118580.36 | 118965.34 | 0.06% | 0.35% | 125 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 118785.47 | 118899.00 | 118775.88 | 118891.42 | 0.09% | 0.10% | 61 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 119082.94 | 118580.36 | 118992.66 | 0.09% | 0.42% | 202 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 118839.00 | 118899.00 | 118775.88 | 118891.42 | 0.04% | 0.10% | 84 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 119082.94 | 118580.36 | 118965.17 | 0.06% | 0.42% | 252 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 118769.06 | 118899.00 | 118700.00 | 118891.42 | 0.10% | 0.17% | 152 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 119082.94 | 118580.36 | 118613.43 | -0.23% | 0.42% | 398 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 118911.89 | 118912.36 | 118700.00 | 118891.42 | -0.02% | 0.18% | 343 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 119082.94 | 118408.54 | 118798.99 | -0.08% | 0.57% | 696 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 119168.15 | 119186.76 | 118650.00 | 118891.42 | -0.23% | 0.45% | 859 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 119082.94 | 118181.14 | 118478.91 | -0.35% | 0.76% | 1,776 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 118230.87 | 119310.75 | 118230.87 | 118891.42 | 0.56% | 0.91% | 2,441 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 119794.80 | 118181.14 | 119175.67 | 0.24% | 1.35% | 5,092 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 118059.99 | 119310.75 | 118000.00 | 118891.42 | 0.70% | 1.10% | 3,464 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 119794.80 | 118181.14 | 119175.16 | 0.24% | 1.35% | 6,317 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 117584.27 | 118300.00 | 117017.29 | 118230.87 | 0.55% | 1.08% | 3,851 BTC |
| During | 118230.87 | 119794.80 | 118181.14 | 119175.67 | 0.79% | 1.35% | 7,533 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 117584.27 | 119310.75 | 117017.29 | 118891.42 | 1.10% | 1.92% | 6,292 BTC |
| During | 118891.41 | 120063.84 | 118181.14 | 118863.01 | -0.02% | 1.57% | 10,696 BTC |
