Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 15 October 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Producer Price Index came in at 1.3% for September 2026, against 0.4% in August 2026. Producer prices are rising faster than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Retail Sales, Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles, Core Producer Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $81,076.00 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.23% lower, and an hour later 1.04% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.09% of its price, against 0.43% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.47x, against 2.08x for a typical PPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.35x, against a typical 2.30x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, PPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.18x across 29, against 2.05x across 41. This one came out 13 days before the Federal Reserve's 28 October rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.47x compares with 2.18x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 PPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 2.08x.
What it means
Bitcoin recorded an ordinary reaction to the September PPI release. The price stood at $81,076.00 at the 8:30 AM print and moved 1.04% lower within the hour. The resulting volatility ratio of 2.47x sat only modestly above the 2.08x median observed across 70 PPI releases since 2021. Volume expanded to 3.35x against a typical 2.30x.
The release arrived with retail sales, core PPI and jobless claims data, so the measured response captures their joint impact. It also fell 13 days before the October 28 Federal Reserve decision. PPI prints in the two weeks before policy meetings have produced a median volatility ratio of 2.18x since 2021, nearly identical to the 2.05x median at other times. The 2.47x outcome here therefore matched what the surrounding calendar would suggest.
Traders reviewing this episode can note that PPI releases have shown stable responsiveness to Bitcoin regardless of proximity to rate decisions. The record supplies no basis for expecting either larger or smaller moves from future prints on similar timing alone.
About Producer Price Index
The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for their output. It is a measure of inflation at the wholesale level that is compiled from thousands of indexes measuring producer prices by industry and product category. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
81,779.09Close
82,397.9024h Change
618.81 (0.75%)24h High
82,634.3024h Low
79,800.0024h Volume
22,607 BTCUS Producer Price Index
Bureau of Labor Statistics
15th October, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 81099.78 | 81112.01 | 81038.00 | 81076.37 | -0.03% | 0.09% | 20 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 81105.83 | 80614.65 | 80845.21 | -0.29% | 0.61% | 275 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 81152.61 | 81183.98 | 81016.00 | 81076.37 | -0.09% | 0.21% | 64 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 81105.83 | 80562.86 | 80750.01 | -0.40% | 0.67% | 464 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 80997.43 | 81183.98 | 80988.00 | 81076.37 | 0.10% | 0.24% | 112 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 81105.83 | 80562.86 | 81070.50 | -0.01% | 0.67% | 557 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 80996.01 | 81183.98 | 80972.01 | 81076.37 | 0.10% | 0.26% | 158 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 81105.83 | 80562.86 | 80892.01 | -0.23% | 0.67% | 616 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 80980.01 | 81183.98 | 80837.51 | 81076.37 | 0.12% | 0.43% | 326 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 81105.83 | 80535.04 | 80552.11 | -0.65% | 0.70% | 811 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 81050.87 | 81189.67 | 80837.51 | 81076.37 | 0.03% | 0.43% | 479 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 81105.83 | 80222.00 | 80236.72 | -1.05% | 1.09% | 1,277 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 81014.27 | 81189.67 | 80837.51 | 81076.37 | 0.08% | 0.43% | 908 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 81424.00 | 79800.00 | 81171.11 | 0.12% | 1.99% | 3,827 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 81288.63 | 81417.94 | 80837.51 | 81076.37 | -0.26% | 0.71% | 1,890 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 82631.00 | 79800.00 | 82074.01 | 1.22% | 3.43% | 6,521 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 80970.00 | 81585.00 | 80745.37 | 81076.37 | 0.13% | 1.03% | 3,405 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 82634.30 | 79800.00 | 82194.01 | 1.36% | 3.43% | 7,969 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 81779.09 | 81938.96 | 80226.35 | 81288.64 | -0.60% | 2.09% | 9,446 BTC |
| During | 81288.63 | 82631.00 | 79800.00 | 82074.01 | 0.96% | 3.43% | 8,411 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 81779.09 | 81938.96 | 80226.35 | 81076.37 | -0.87% | 2.09% | 11,336 BTC |
| During | 81076.00 | 82634.30 | 79800.00 | 82397.90 | 1.60% | 3.43% | 11,271 BTC |
