Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 3.66x, against 1.80x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.16x, against a typical 2.15x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $1,627.12 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.62% higher, and an hour later 0.45% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.43% of its price, against 0.65% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 25 June 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 0.7% for May 2026, against 0.0% in April 2026. Personal income is rising again, after a fall.
It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims, Continued Jobless Claims and Gross Domestic Product Report, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.86x across 18, against 1.77x across 51. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 3.66x compares with 1.77x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 69 Personal Income releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 1.80x.
What it means
Ethereum registered an exceptional reaction to the 25 June 2026 Personal Income release. Its volatility ratio reached 3.66x against the 1.80x median recorded across 69 prior releases of the same event since 2021. Volume expanded to 3.16x, exceeding the 2.15x typical benchmark. The price stood at $1,627.12 at the 8:30 AM print, rose 0.62 percent within fifteen minutes and 0.45 percent after one hour, while the hourly high-low range widened to 1.43 percent from 0.65 percent beforehand.
This release fell 33 days before the next Federal Reserve decision and therefore outside the two-week window where timing has historically shown little difference in Ethereum’s response. The 3.66x volatility ratio stands out as more than double the 1.77x median observed for non-Fed-window releases. Clometrix classifies the outcome as exceptional for this event type.
About Personal Income and Outlays
Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
1,620.55Close
1,569.0024h Change
-51.55 (-3.29%)24h High
1,660.5424h Low
1,532.9024h Volume
440,183 ETHUS Personal Income and Outlays
Bureau of Economic Analysis
25th June, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 1625.90 | 1627.96 | 1625.90 | 1627.11 | 0.07% | 0.13% | 589 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1627.12 | 1641.76 | 0.89% | 1.41% | 4,657 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1630.54 | 1631.89 | 1624.71 | 1627.11 | -0.21% | 0.44% | 1,758 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1627.12 | 1636.00 | 0.54% | 1.41% | 6,391 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1629.69 | 1631.89 | 1624.71 | 1627.11 | -0.16% | 0.44% | 2,370 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1627.12 | 1637.80 | 0.65% | 1.41% | 7,451 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1631.81 | 1632.01 | 1624.71 | 1627.11 | -0.29% | 0.45% | 2,718 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1627.12 | 1637.21 | 0.62% | 1.41% | 8,147 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1633.28 | 1634.72 | 1624.71 | 1627.11 | -0.38% | 0.61% | 3,960 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1627.12 | 1635.81 | 0.53% | 1.41% | 10,122 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 1630.89 | 1635.22 | 1624.71 | 1627.11 | -0.23% | 0.64% | 11,080 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1627.12 | 1634.50 | 0.45% | 1.41% | 14,447 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1643.44 | 1644.19 | 1624.71 | 1627.11 | -1.00% | 1.18% | 32,713 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1532.90 | 1563.85 | -4.05% | 7.12% | 125,126 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1653.42 | 1655.41 | 1624.71 | 1627.11 | -1.62% | 1.85% | 45,510 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1532.90 | 1576.52 | -3.21% | 7.12% | 212,964 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1648.53 | 1660.54 | 1624.71 | 1627.11 | -1.32% | 2.16% | 66,692 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1532.90 | 1573.52 | -3.41% | 7.12% | 246,671 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1620.55 | 1660.54 | 1614.69 | 1653.42 | 1.99% | 2.76% | 86,919 ETH |
| During | 1653.42 | 1655.41 | 1532.90 | 1576.52 | -4.88% | 7.40% | 258,474 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1620.55 | 1660.54 | 1614.69 | 1627.11 | 0.40% | 2.76% | 132,428 ETH |
| During | 1627.12 | 1650.38 | 1532.90 | 1569.00 | -3.70% | 7.12% | 307,755 ETH |
