Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 30 July 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 0.2% for June 2026, against 0.7% in May 2026. Personal income is still rising, but more slowly than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims, Continued Jobless Claims and Gross Domestic Product Report, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 1.15x, against 1.80x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.99x, against a typical 2.15x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $1,922.39 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.09% lower, and an hour later 0.14% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.45% of its price, against 0.47% in the hour before.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.86x across 18, against 1.77x across 51. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 29 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.15x compares with 1.77x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
What it means
Personal Income data for June arrived alongside several other economic figures and produced a quiet response in Ethereum. The cryptocurrency registered a volatility ratio of 1.15x in the quarter hour around the release, below the 1.80x typical for this event since 2021. Volume stayed flat at 0.99x against a usual 2.15x, confirming the absence of measurable reaction.
It declined 0.09 percent over the next fifteen minutes, then posted a net 0.14 percent gain after one hour, while its high-to-low range of 0.45 percent essentially matched the prior hour. This release followed the Federal Reserve's July 29 meeting by one day and fell outside the two-week window before the September decision. Personal Income releases since 2021 have shown median volatility ratios of 1.86x near policy meetings and 1.77x at other times, yet this instance reached only 1.15x. A trader reviewing the next release may observe that even multi-figure clusters can leave prices unmoved when volatility stays subdued.
About Personal Income and Outlays
Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
1,911.21Close
1,917.8424h Change
6.63 (0.35%)24h High
1,936.9924h Low
1,893.9924h Volume
176,423 ETHUS Personal Income and Outlays
Bureau of Economic Analysis
30th July, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 1921.51 | 1922.40 | 1921.50 | 1922.40 | 0.05% | 0.05% | 51 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1925.60 | 1922.39 | 1922.89 | 0.03% | 0.17% | 351 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1922.79 | 1923.56 | 1921.35 | 1922.40 | -0.02% | 0.11% | 375 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1925.60 | 1919.84 | 1922.10 | -0.02% | 0.30% | 682 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1922.34 | 1923.56 | 1919.79 | 1922.40 | 0.00% | 0.20% | 843 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1925.60 | 1919.84 | 1921.61 | -0.04% | 0.30% | 1,124 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1926.52 | 1926.96 | 1919.79 | 1922.40 | -0.21% | 0.37% | 1,272 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1925.60 | 1919.84 | 1920.61 | -0.09% | 0.30% | 1,538 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1923.25 | 1928.00 | 1919.79 | 1922.40 | -0.04% | 0.43% | 3,678 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1926.43 | 1919.84 | 1925.23 | 0.15% | 0.34% | 3,224 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 1920.50 | 1928.00 | 1918.98 | 1922.40 | 0.10% | 0.47% | 6,742 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1928.46 | 1919.84 | 1925.17 | 0.14% | 0.45% | 5,799 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1920.25 | 1928.00 | 1916.70 | 1922.40 | 0.11% | 0.59% | 10,475 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1936.99 | 1913.49 | 1921.08 | -0.07% | 1.21% | 26,317 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1914.37 | 1928.00 | 1912.99 | 1922.40 | 0.42% | 0.78% | 27,864 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1936.99 | 1913.49 | 1922.75 | 0.02% | 1.21% | 41,225 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1905.88 | 1928.00 | 1899.59 | 1922.40 | 0.86% | 1.47% | 43,042 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1936.99 | 1913.49 | 1920.32 | -0.11% | 1.21% | 51,899 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1911.21 | 1921.92 | 1893.99 | 1914.37 | 0.17% | 1.45% | 63,104 ETH |
| During | 1914.37 | 1936.99 | 1912.99 | 1922.75 | 0.44% | 1.24% | 69,090 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1911.21 | 1928.00 | 1893.99 | 1922.40 | 0.58% | 1.76% | 90,968 ETH |
| During | 1922.39 | 1936.99 | 1913.49 | 1917.84 | -0.24% | 1.21% | 85,454 ETH |
