Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 22 January 2026 at 10:00 AM EST. The Personal Income and Outlays came in at 0.1% for October 2025, against 0.4% in September 2025. Personal income is still rising, but more slowly than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $2,941.32 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.22% higher, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.12% of its price, against 1.59% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 1.86x, against 1.80x for a typical Personal Income release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.26x, against a typical 2.15x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.86x across 18, against 1.77x across 51. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 28 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.86x compares with 1.86x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.
Its record
Across 69 Personal Income releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 1.80x.
What it means
The Personal Income release produced an ordinary reaction in Ethereum. Volatility rose to 1.86x its baseline for the quarter hour, matching the 1.80x median across 69 prior Personal Income prints since 2021.
Personal Income releases in the two weeks before a policy meeting have historically produced a median volatility ratio of 1.86x for Ethereum, identical to the reading observed here. The outcome therefore aligned with the timing pattern rather than deviating from it.
Against the event's own record the move offered little new information. The 2.12 percent high-to-low range in the hour after the release exceeded the prior hour's 1.59 percent, yet both the volatility and volume ratios stayed within the bounds typically seen when Personal Income arrives alongside the consumption data. The record supplies no basis for expecting a larger reaction solely from the calendar placement.
About Personal Income and Outlays
Personal Income measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. Income is closely correlated with consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
3,017.72Close
2,952.8324h Change
-64.89 (-2.20%)24h High
3,030.8224h Low
2,906.0224h Volume
278,078 ETHUS Personal Income and Outlays
Bureau of Economic Analysis
22nd January, 2026, 10:00AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 2942.23 | 2943.18 | 2940.10 | 2941.33 | -0.03% | 0.10% | 1,833 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2946.41 | 2936.14 | 2945.96 | 0.16% | 0.35% | 1,272 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 2946.24 | 2947.19 | 2937.74 | 2941.33 | -0.17% | 0.32% | 3,424 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2954.89 | 2936.14 | 2951.83 | 0.36% | 0.63% | 4,765 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 2939.05 | 2951.33 | 2935.22 | 2941.33 | 0.08% | 0.55% | 6,451 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2954.89 | 2936.14 | 2946.94 | 0.19% | 0.63% | 7,028 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 2962.32 | 2963.63 | 2935.22 | 2941.33 | -0.71% | 0.96% | 12,995 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2954.89 | 2936.14 | 2947.73 | 0.22% | 0.63% | 8,788 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 2972.76 | 2979.61 | 2935.22 | 2941.33 | -1.07% | 1.49% | 27,579 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2954.89 | 2907.61 | 2911.65 | -1.02% | 1.60% | 23,829 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 2972.76 | 2982.13 | 2935.22 | 2941.33 | -1.07% | 1.57% | 34,628 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2968.39 | 2906.02 | 2942.01 | 0.02% | 2.10% | 45,630 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 2990.86 | 3010.18 | 2935.22 | 2941.33 | -1.68% | 2.49% | 53,499 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2968.39 | 2906.02 | 2946.24 | 0.17% | 2.10% | 63,277 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3002.63 | 3010.18 | 2935.22 | 2941.33 | -2.08% | 2.49% | 74,036 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2972.76 | 2906.02 | 2939.53 | -0.06% | 2.25% | 85,469 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3005.75 | 3016.40 | 2935.22 | 2941.33 | -2.19% | 2.69% | 88,184 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2972.76 | 2906.02 | 2939.02 | -0.08% | 2.25% | 103,914 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3017.72 | 3030.82 | 2992.50 | 3002.64 | -0.50% | 1.26% | 63,433 ETH |
| During | 3002.63 | 3010.18 | 2906.02 | 2939.53 | -2.15% | 3.46% | 159,505 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3017.72 | 3030.82 | 2935.22 | 2941.33 | -2.60% | 3.15% | 137,469 ETH |
| During | 2941.32 | 2972.76 | 2906.02 | 2952.83 | 0.39% | 2.25% | 140,609 ETH |
