ETH Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 8th December 2023

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 8 December 2023 at 8:30 AM EST. The economy added 141K jobs for November 2023, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a gain of 186K in October 2023.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $2,357.58 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.32% lower, and an hour later 0.37% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.51% of its price, against 0.5% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 3.21x, against 3.33x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.01x, against a typical 5.22x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 3.21x across 21, against 3.39x across 49. This one came out 5 days before the Federal Reserve's 13 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 3.21x compares with 3.21x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 3.33x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

2,364.43

Close

2,352.22

24h Change

-12.21 (-0.52%)

24h High

2,392.00

24h Low

2,336.34

24h Volume

369,882 ETH

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

8th December, 2023, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before2358.282358.282357.582357.59-0.03%0.03%132 ETH
During2357.582358.002336.342346.38-0.48%0.92%4,472 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before2358.392359.402357.512357.59-0.03%0.08%1,556 ETH
During2357.582358.002336.342355.27-0.10%0.92%6,715 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before2358.772360.002357.512357.59-0.05%0.11%3,158 ETH
During2357.582358.002336.342347.45-0.43%0.92%8,641 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before2360.072360.502357.512357.59-0.11%0.13%4,550 ETH
During2357.582358.002336.342349.92-0.33%0.92%10,286 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before2362.352362.772356.992357.59-0.20%0.24%16,613 ETH
During2357.582358.002336.342343.83-0.59%0.92%14,275 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before2365.852368.872356.992357.59-0.35%0.50%25,395 ETH
During2357.582372.002336.342348.82-0.37%1.50%32,143 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before2365.612373.002356.992357.59-0.34%0.67%39,914 ETH
During2357.582376.802336.342360.150.11%1.70%59,252 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before2351.462373.002345.172357.590.26%1.17%72,840 ETH
During2357.582376.802336.342345.41-0.52%1.70%96,387 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before2358.472373.002345.172357.59-0.04%1.17%108,736 ETH
During2357.582376.802336.342350.79-0.29%1.70%115,441 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before2364.432392.002349.102351.45-0.55%1.79%120,700 ETH
During2351.462376.802336.342345.41-0.26%1.70%169,227 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before2364.432392.002345.172357.59-0.29%1.96%193,540 ETH
During2357.582376.802336.342352.22-0.23%1.70%176,343 ETH

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