Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 6.60x, against 3.21x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 7.90x, against a typical 4.71x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $29,158.32 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.66% lower, and an hour later 0.52% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.63% of its price, against 0.49% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 5 May 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. The economy added 216K jobs for April 2023, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a gain of 85K in March 2023.
It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 3.15x across 21, against 3.22x across 49. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 3 May rate decision. Its own ratio of 6.60x compares with 3.22x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 3.21x.
About Non-Farm Payrolls
Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
28,885.93Close
29,557.5624h Change
671.63 (2.27%)24h High
29,677.0024h Low
28,800.0024h Volume
58,741 BTCUS Non-Farm Payrolls
Bureau of Labor Statistics
5th May, 2023, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 29140.07 | 29171.02 | 29134.02 | 29158.31 | 0.06% | 0.13% | 43 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29274.23 | 28800.00 | 28932.37 | -0.78% | 1.62% | 1,241 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 29142.86 | 29173.70 | 29134.02 | 29158.31 | 0.05% | 0.14% | 157 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29274.23 | 28800.00 | 28918.73 | -0.83% | 1.62% | 2,582 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 29144.09 | 29173.70 | 29134.02 | 29158.31 | 0.05% | 0.14% | 286 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29274.23 | 28800.00 | 28955.03 | -0.70% | 1.62% | 3,184 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 29176.94 | 29211.50 | 29134.02 | 29158.31 | -0.06% | 0.27% | 477 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29274.23 | 28800.00 | 28965.32 | -0.67% | 1.62% | 3,496 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 29149.36 | 29211.50 | 29123.34 | 29158.31 | 0.03% | 0.30% | 1,033 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29274.23 | 28800.00 | 28952.39 | -0.71% | 1.62% | 4,877 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 29095.84 | 29211.50 | 29069.06 | 29158.31 | 0.21% | 0.49% | 1,779 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29274.23 | 28800.00 | 29007.83 | -0.52% | 1.62% | 6,207 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 29133.01 | 29211.50 | 29069.06 | 29158.31 | 0.09% | 0.49% | 3,064 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29274.23 | 28800.00 | 29163.60 | 0.02% | 1.62% | 9,766 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 29113.72 | 29211.50 | 29022.27 | 29158.31 | 0.15% | 0.65% | 5,503 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29677.00 | 28800.00 | 29528.46 | 1.25% | 2.96% | 20,384 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 29190.85 | 29241.42 | 29022.27 | 29158.31 | -0.11% | 0.75% | 9,462 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29677.00 | 28800.00 | 29493.43 | 1.14% | 2.96% | 25,707 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 28885.93 | 29531.00 | 28880.03 | 29113.73 | 0.78% | 2.20% | 19,347 BTC |
| During | 29113.72 | 29677.00 | 28800.00 | 29528.46 | 1.40% | 2.96% | 25,887 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 28885.93 | 29531.00 | 28880.03 | 29158.31 | 0.93% | 2.20% | 24,850 BTC |
| During | 29158.32 | 29677.00 | 28800.00 | 29557.56 | 1.35% | 2.96% | 33,891 BTC |
