SOL Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 4th September 2026

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Solana's volatility ratio was 13.90x, against 2.77x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 21.97x, against a typical 4.45x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Solana moved

Solana was at $104.37 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 2.79% lower, and an hour later 2.84% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.99% of its price, against 0.58% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 4 September 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The economy added 162K jobs for August 2026, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a loss of 23K in July 2026.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Solana about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.72x across 21, against 2.81x across 49. This one came out 12 days before the Federal Reserve's 16 September rate decision. Its own ratio of 13.90x compares with 2.72x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Solana's median volatility ratio is 2.77x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

SOL-USDT

Solana

Open

103.66

Close

101.86

24h Change

-1.80 (-1.77%)

24h High

104.79

24h Low

100.21

24h Volume

2.188M SOL

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

4th September, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before104.29104.45104.21104.380.09%0.23%2,256 SOL
During104.37104.37101.63102.03-2.29%2.63%110,945 SOL
 
5 Minutes
Before104.06104.45104.04104.380.31%0.39%5,262 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.62-2.71%3.99%232,736 SOL
 
10 Minutes
Before103.99104.45103.96104.380.37%0.47%7,907 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.77-2.55%3.99%275,969 SOL
 
15 Minutes
Before104.10104.45103.90104.380.27%0.53%14,558 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.46-2.87%3.99%319,897 SOL
 
30 Minutes
Before104.09104.45103.90104.380.28%0.53%37,590 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.59-2.74%3.99%424,828 SOL
 
1 Hour
Before104.24104.51103.90104.380.13%0.58%64,442 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.41-2.92%3.99%526,224 SOL
 
2 Hours
Before103.87104.51103.81104.380.49%0.67%128,381 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.31-3.02%3.99%679,979 SOL
 
4 Hours
Before103.92104.79103.56104.380.44%1.17%368,294 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.72-2.61%3.99%882,181 SOL
 
6 Hours
Before103.42104.79103.21104.380.92%1.51%601,472 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.43-2.90%3.99%995,445 SOL
 
8 Hours
Before103.66104.37103.21103.930.26%1.11%616,973 SOL
During103.92104.79100.21101.72-2.16%4.37%1.25M SOL
 
12 Hours
Before103.66104.79103.21104.380.69%1.51%985,267 SOL
During104.37104.37100.21101.86-2.46%3.99%1.202M SOL

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