ETH Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 11th February 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 11 February 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. The economy added 160K jobs for January 2026, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a loss of 17K in December 2025.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $1,948.70 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.34% higher, and an hour later 2.01% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.75% of its price, against 0.92% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 2.32x, against 3.33x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.11x, against a typical 5.22x. That is a muted reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 3.21x across 21, against 3.39x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.32x compares with 3.39x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 3.33x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

2,018.07

Close

1,969.86

24h Change

-48.21 (-2.45%)

24h High

2,032.31

24h Low

1,903.19

24h Volume

534,934 ETH

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

11th February, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before1946.641949.601944.061948.720.11%0.28%2,303 ETH
During1948.701961.361943.451943.78-0.25%0.91%5,942 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before1949.621949.621944.061948.72-0.05%0.29%2,849 ETH
During1948.701968.931942.821964.500.80%1.33%12,695 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before1946.911950.961944.061948.720.09%0.35%5,318 ETH
During1948.701968.931942.821961.800.67%1.33%16,426 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before1946.161950.961943.201948.720.13%0.40%6,649 ETH
During1948.701968.931942.821955.380.34%1.33%18,286 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before1952.341954.671942.931948.72-0.19%0.60%8,900 ETH
During1948.701968.931942.821960.600.61%1.33%24,113 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before1960.091960.771942.931948.72-0.58%0.91%13,905 ETH
During1948.702015.811942.821987.811.97%3.62%61,435 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before1951.461967.101942.931948.72-0.14%1.23%28,803 ETH
During1948.702015.811903.191922.30-1.37%5.59%144,065 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before1951.361967.101932.021948.72-0.14%1.78%54,189 ETH
During1948.702015.811903.191932.50-0.84%5.59%214,890 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before1952.451967.101932.021948.72-0.19%1.78%82,012 ETH
During1948.702015.811903.191944.48-0.22%5.59%262,664 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before2018.072032.311937.111951.36-3.42%4.68%143,095 ETH
During1951.362015.811903.191932.50-0.98%5.59%269,079 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before2018.072032.311932.021948.72-3.56%4.93%197,284 ETH
During1948.702015.811903.191969.861.07%5.59%337,650 ETH

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