BTC Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 11th February 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 11 February 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. The economy added 160K jobs for January 2026, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a loss of 17K in December 2025.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $67,022.57 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.3% higher, and an hour later 1.46% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.91% of its price, against 0.76% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.46x, against 3.21x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.97x, against a typical 4.71x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 3.15x across 21, against 3.22x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.46x compares with 3.22x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 3.21x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

68,959.54

Close

67,809.42

24h Change

-1150.12 (-1.70%)

24h High

69,168.52

24h Low

65,756.00

24h Volume

28,977 BTC

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

11th February, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before66879.8167033.6766824.3767018.770.21%0.31%13 BTC
During67022.5767280.0066895.0966901.61-0.18%0.57%179 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before66941.0567033.6766824.3767018.770.12%0.31%36 BTC
During67022.5767674.3066882.1367527.920.75%1.17%655 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before66829.8967038.6766820.0367018.770.28%0.33%98 BTC
During67022.5767674.3066882.1367456.800.64%1.17%953 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before66925.1567038.6766799.5867018.770.14%0.36%176 BTC
During67022.5767674.3066882.1367222.510.30%1.17%1,251 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before67133.5167213.2966799.5867018.77-0.17%0.62%358 BTC
During67022.5767674.3066882.1367454.490.64%1.17%1,616 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before67220.8567307.0066799.5867018.77-0.30%0.75%733 BTC
During67022.5768834.3466882.1368000.001.44%2.84%3,227 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before66993.0667424.2466799.5867018.770.04%0.93%2,214 BTC
During67022.5768834.3465756.0066191.99-1.25%4.47%6,704 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before66978.4367424.2466369.4967018.770.06%1.56%4,243 BTC
During67022.5768834.3465756.0066655.40-0.55%4.47%9,895 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before67005.9967424.2466369.4967018.770.02%1.56%6,184 BTC
During67022.5768834.3465756.0067436.320.61%4.47%12,064 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before68959.5469168.5266557.9966978.43-2.96%3.77%7,781 BTC
During66978.4368834.3465756.0066655.40-0.48%4.47%14,138 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before68959.5469168.5266369.4967018.77-2.90%4.05%12,023 BTC
During67022.5768834.3465756.0067809.421.16%4.47%16,954 BTC

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