SOL Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 3rd February 2023

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 3 February 2023 at 8:30 AM EST. The economy added 444K jobs for January 2023, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a gain of 126K in December 2022.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Solana moved

Solana was at $24.51 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.86% lower, and an hour later 0.94% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.88% of its price, against 1.26% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Solana's volatility ratio was 3.46x, against 2.77x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 10.51x, against a typical 4.45x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Solana about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.72x across 21, against 2.81x across 49. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 1 February rate decision. Its own ratio of 3.46x compares with 2.81x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Solana's median volatility ratio is 2.77x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

SOL-USDT

Solana

Open

24.39

Close

24.55

24h Change

0.16 (0.65%)

24h High

25.07

24h Low

24.03

24h Volume

4.649M SOL

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

3rd February, 2023, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before24.4924.5224.4524.520.12%0.29%3,684 SOL
During24.5124.5124.2324.24-1.11%1.14%62,945 SOL
 
5 Minutes
Before24.4524.5224.3624.520.29%0.65%32,636 SOL
During24.5124.5124.0724.33-0.74%1.80%187,247 SOL
 
10 Minutes
Before24.5624.5624.3624.52-0.16%0.81%44,564 SOL
During24.5124.5124.0724.36-0.62%1.80%253,490 SOL
 
15 Minutes
Before24.5824.5824.3624.52-0.24%0.90%53,507 SOL
During24.5124.5124.0724.30-0.86%1.80%305,817 SOL
 
30 Minutes
Before24.5824.6024.3624.52-0.24%0.98%81,390 SOL
During24.5124.5124.0724.30-0.86%1.80%402,983 SOL
 
1 Hour
Before24.5324.6724.3624.52-0.04%1.26%202,624 SOL
During24.5124.5124.0524.28-0.95%1.88%593,685 SOL
 
2 Hours
Before24.4024.6724.3624.520.49%1.26%405,655 SOL
During24.5125.0424.0524.901.57%3.95%1.42M SOL
 
4 Hours
Before24.3724.6724.2424.520.61%1.74%557,319 SOL
During24.5125.0724.0524.871.45%4.07%1.977M SOL
 
6 Hours
Before24.3324.6724.1024.520.77%2.31%834,509 SOL
During24.5125.0724.0524.50-0.04%4.07%2.273M SOL
 
8 Hours
Before24.3924.5424.0324.37-0.08%2.08%1.043M SOL
During24.3725.0724.0524.872.01%4.07%2.534M SOL
 
12 Hours
Before24.3924.6724.0324.520.53%2.59%1.6M SOL
During24.5125.0724.0524.550.16%4.07%3.049M SOL

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