ETH Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 3rd April 2026

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 5.91x, against 3.33x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 7.74x, against a typical 5.22x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $2,067.34 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.43% lower, and an hour later 0.9% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.92% of its price, against 0.45% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 3 April 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The economy added 178K jobs for March 2026, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a loss of 133K in February 2026.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 3.21x across 21, against 3.39x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 5.91x compares with 3.39x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 3.33x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

2,055.06

Close

2,052.25

24h Change

-2.81 (-0.14%)

24h High

2,081.76

24h Low

2,040.66

24h Volume

135,326 ETH

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

3rd April, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before2065.792067.342065.792067.340.07%0.07%119 ETH
During2067.342081.762063.992064.06-0.16%0.85%5,216 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before2060.122068.112060.122067.340.35%0.39%857 ETH
During2067.342081.762058.362061.00-0.31%1.12%6,778 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before2060.432068.112059.452067.340.33%0.42%1,063 ETH
During2067.342081.762056.602058.60-0.42%1.21%7,428 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before2060.902068.112058.752067.340.31%0.45%1,233 ETH
During2067.342081.762056.602058.52-0.43%1.21%7,858 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before2062.642068.112058.752067.340.23%0.45%1,960 ETH
During2067.342081.762045.082049.84-0.85%1.76%13,376 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before2060.742068.112058.752067.340.32%0.45%3,571 ETH
During2067.342081.762042.002048.73-0.91%1.91%17,942 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before2055.812068.112053.462067.340.56%0.71%6,592 ETH
During2067.342081.762041.652053.46-0.68%1.93%24,532 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before2066.002068.112053.462067.340.06%0.71%20,288 ETH
During2067.342081.762041.652055.70-0.57%1.93%34,624 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before2059.792075.172053.462067.340.37%1.05%34,297 ETH
During2067.342081.762041.652050.55-0.82%1.93%42,111 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before2055.062075.172040.662066.000.53%1.66%53,279 ETH
During2066.002081.762041.652055.70-0.50%1.93%54,912 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before2055.062075.172040.662067.340.59%1.66%73,567 ETH
During2067.342081.762041.652052.25-0.74%1.93%61,759 ETH

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