BTC Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 3rd April 2026

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 5.25x, against 3.21x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.54x, against a typical 4.71x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $67,115.99 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.37% lower, and an hour later 0.64% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.21% of its price, against 0.33% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 3 April 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The economy added 178K jobs for March 2026, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a loss of 133K in February 2026.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 3.15x across 21, against 3.22x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 5.25x compares with 3.22x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 3.21x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

66,828.88

Close

66,918.95

24h Change

90.07 (0.13%)

24h High

67,370.42

24h Low

66,282.00

24h Volume

11,351 BTC

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

3rd April, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before67094.0167116.0067088.5267115.990.03%0.04%3 BTC
During67115.9967370.4267001.9067014.71-0.15%0.55%289 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before66956.7767144.0966956.7767115.990.24%0.28%30 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266878.5766926.67-0.28%0.73%352 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before66988.7967144.0966942.3567115.990.19%0.30%76 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266805.2066834.73-0.42%0.84%393 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before67008.0067144.0966942.3567115.990.16%0.30%89 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266796.4366867.31-0.37%0.85%420 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before67017.4367144.0966941.5067115.990.15%0.30%135 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266646.3666722.16-0.59%1.07%673 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before66937.6267144.0966920.8667115.990.27%0.33%249 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266561.0566688.73-0.64%1.20%961 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before66765.7167144.0966674.7267115.990.52%0.70%454 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266508.1066916.10-0.30%1.28%1,570 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before67056.2567144.0966674.7267115.990.09%0.70%1,143 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266508.1066993.14-0.18%1.28%2,353 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before66624.9867288.0066579.3267115.990.73%1.05%2,724 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266508.1066882.24-0.35%1.28%3,099 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before66828.8867288.0066282.0067056.250.34%1.50%5,359 BTC
During67056.2567370.4266508.1066993.14-0.09%1.28%3,496 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before66828.8867288.0066282.0067115.990.43%1.50%6,502 BTC
During67115.9967370.4266508.1066918.95-0.29%1.28%4,849 BTC

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