ETH Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 10th January 2025

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 7.07x, against 3.33x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 22.11x, against a typical 5.22x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $3,301.41 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.68% lower, and an hour later 0.94% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.61% of its price, against 0.72% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 10 January 2025 at 8:30 AM EST. The economy added 323K jobs for December 2024, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a gain of 261K in November 2024.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 3.21x across 21, against 3.39x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 7.07x compares with 3.39x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 3.33x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

3,223.49

Close

3,249.98

24h Change

26.49 (0.82%)

24h High

3,322.49

24h Low

3,193.97

24h Volume

449,195 ETH

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

10th January, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before3306.713307.383301.423301.42-0.16%0.18%168 ETH
During3301.413302.003233.003248.14-1.64%2.09%11,380 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before3301.843309.763301.423301.42-0.01%0.25%775 ETH
During3301.413302.003233.003248.41-1.63%2.09%31,145 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before3305.833309.763301.423301.42-0.13%0.25%1,468 ETH
During3301.413302.003215.763227.00-2.31%2.61%53,154 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before3308.493309.763300.113301.42-0.21%0.29%2,634 ETH
During3301.413302.003215.763246.08-1.70%2.61%61,570 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before3310.733317.033300.113301.42-0.28%0.51%6,023 ETH
During3301.413302.003215.763244.24-1.76%2.61%74,381 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before3295.533317.033293.103301.420.18%0.72%9,867 ETH
During3301.413302.003215.763270.50-0.95%2.61%90,742 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before3301.813317.033293.103301.42-0.01%0.72%24,310 ETH
During3301.413302.003193.973230.73-2.19%3.27%149,641 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before3307.403321.253293.103301.42-0.18%0.85%49,188 ETH
During3301.413302.003193.973281.12-0.62%3.27%205,346 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before3282.223321.253280.373301.420.58%1.23%92,571 ETH
During3301.413322.493193.973290.90-0.32%3.87%254,818 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before3223.493313.653220.213307.392.54%2.82%104,942 ETH
During3307.403321.253193.973281.12-0.80%3.83%254,534 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before3223.493321.253220.213301.422.36%3.04%154,130 ETH
During3301.413322.493193.973249.98-1.58%3.87%295,065 ETH

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