Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.08x, against 1.10x for a typical International Exports release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.83x, against a typical 1.22x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $63,834.60 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.21% higher, and an hour later 0.09% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.39% of its price, against 0.36% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 4 August 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The International Exports in Goods and Services fell to $314.7B for June 2026, from $317.7B in May 2026.
It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services and International Imports in Goods and Services, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
What made it matter
Since 2021, International Exports releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 0.97x across 23, against 1.25x across 47. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.08x compares with 1.25x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 International Exports releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 1.10x.
About International Exports in Goods and Services
International Exports measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the amount of a country's exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
63,462.22Close
64,068.0024h Change
605.78 (0.95%)24h High
64,549.1624h Low
63,322.0124h Volume
13,696 BTCUS International Exports in Goods and Services
Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis
4th August, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 63835.16 | 63835.17 | 63832.12 | 63834.60 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 63844.00 | 63825.20 | 63843.98 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 6 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 63788.01 | 63835.17 | 63788.01 | 63834.60 | 0.07% | 0.07% | 16 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 63882.00 | 63814.57 | 63881.99 | 0.07% | 0.11% | 25 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 63798.01 | 63836.00 | 63788.00 | 63834.60 | 0.06% | 0.08% | 81 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 64062.46 | 63814.57 | 63986.00 | 0.24% | 0.39% | 169 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 63811.42 | 63836.00 | 63788.00 | 63834.60 | 0.04% | 0.08% | 106 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 64062.46 | 63814.57 | 63966.00 | 0.21% | 0.39% | 231 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 63926.00 | 63926.00 | 63788.00 | 63834.60 | -0.14% | 0.22% | 223 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 64062.46 | 63814.57 | 63906.41 | 0.11% | 0.39% | 324 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 63783.32 | 63950.00 | 63720.00 | 63834.60 | 0.08% | 0.36% | 531 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 64062.46 | 63814.57 | 63890.82 | 0.09% | 0.39% | 622 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63470.00 | 63950.00 | 63465.00 | 63834.60 | 0.57% | 0.76% | 965 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 64097.74 | 63615.38 | 63887.51 | 0.08% | 0.75% | 1,792 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63626.11 | 63950.00 | 63451.80 | 63834.60 | 0.33% | 0.78% | 1,872 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 64238.00 | 63615.38 | 64032.00 | 0.31% | 0.97% | 3,376 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63764.07 | 63950.00 | 63451.80 | 63834.60 | 0.11% | 0.78% | 3,021 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 64400.00 | 63615.38 | 64364.18 | 0.82% | 1.22% | 4,836 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63462.22 | 64243.81 | 63322.01 | 63626.10 | 0.26% | 1.43% | 4,379 BTC |
| During | 63626.11 | 64238.00 | 63451.80 | 64032.00 | 0.63% | 1.22% | 5,248 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63462.22 | 64243.81 | 63322.01 | 63834.60 | 0.58% | 1.43% | 6,251 BTC |
| During | 63834.60 | 64549.16 | 63615.38 | 64068.00 | 0.36% | 1.45% | 7,445 BTC |
