BTC Volatility Analysis for International Exports, 3rd July 2019

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 3 July 2019 at 8:30 AM EDT. The International Exports in Goods and Services rose to $215.5B for May 2019, from $211.2B in April 2019.

It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services, International Imports in Goods and Services, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 0.81x, against 1.10x for a typical International Exports release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.83x, against a typical 1.22x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $11,257.23 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.06% lower, and an hour later 0.91% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.15% of its price, against 2.12% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, International Exports releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 0.97x across 23, against 1.25x across 47. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 0.81x compares with 1.25x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About International Exports in Goods and Services

International Exports measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the amount of a country's exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

11,113.16

Close

11,844.01

24h Change

730.85 (6.17%)

24h High

12,000.00

24h Low

10,878.75

24h Volume

95,319 BTC

US International Exports in Goods and Services

Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis

3rd July, 2019, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before11261.3611270.7611250.4511256.40-0.04%0.18%40 BTC
During11257.2311262.9911252.1811253.83-0.03%0.10%26 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before11265.5911270.7611250.0011256.40-0.08%0.18%299 BTC
During11257.2311262.9911186.3911215.00-0.38%0.68%316 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before11290.2811298.9911250.0011256.40-0.30%0.43%470 BTC
During11257.2311262.9911178.3811210.41-0.42%0.75%551 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before11222.7211298.9911220.7811256.400.30%0.69%901 BTC
During11257.2311262.9911178.3811250.61-0.06%0.75%713 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before11166.5411298.9911123.4311256.400.80%1.55%1,764 BTC
During11257.2311380.2211178.3811370.000.99%1.77%1,446 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before11244.4611298.9911060.0111256.400.11%2.12%3,150 BTC
During11257.2311420.0611178.3811359.770.90%2.12%3,060 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before11253.2011339.8211060.0111256.400.03%2.47%5,457 BTC
During11257.2311420.0611161.8711341.490.74%2.26%6,039 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before11260.1111347.0010878.7511256.40-0.03%4.13%15,286 BTC
During11257.2311460.0011161.8711344.160.77%2.60%12,070 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before11377.2611484.1710878.7511256.40-1.07%5.27%21,536 BTC
During11257.2311460.0011017.5911082.37-1.58%3.86%20,174 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before11113.1611513.0011076.6711263.021.33%3.79%34,291 BTC
During11260.1111460.0010878.7511344.160.74%5.07%27,356 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before11113.1611513.0010878.7511256.401.27%5.51%49,577 BTC
During11257.2312000.0011017.5911844.014.95%8.19%45,741 BTC

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