ETH Volatility Analysis for International Exports, 6th June 2024

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 2.80x, against 1.25x for a typical International Exports release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.95x, against a typical 1.41x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $3,860.01 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.27% lower, and an hour later 0.54% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.2% of its price, against 0.4% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 6 June 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. The International Exports in Goods and Services rose to $266.4B for April 2024, from $265.6B in March 2024.

It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services, International Imports in Goods and Services, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, International Exports releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.14x across 23, against 1.39x across 47. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 12 June rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.80x compares with 1.14x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 International Exports releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 1.25x.

About International Exports in Goods and Services

International Exports measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the amount of a country's exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

3,864.11

Close

3,809.47

24h Change

-54.64 (-1.43%)

24h High

3,878.60

24h Low

3,760.00

24h Volume

237,097 ETH

US International Exports in Goods and Services

Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis

6th June, 2024, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before3859.313860.013859.303860.000.02%0.02%75 ETH
During3860.013866.483858.163858.17-0.05%0.22%1,122 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before3858.553860.013856.713860.000.04%0.09%436 ETH
During3860.013866.483847.823850.35-0.25%0.48%3,139 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before3856.003860.333854.093860.000.10%0.16%1,816 ETH
During3860.013866.483846.203847.85-0.32%0.52%4,261 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before3850.083860.333850.083860.000.26%0.27%2,708 ETH
During3860.013866.483845.693849.42-0.28%0.54%5,002 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before3849.513860.333846.803860.000.27%0.35%4,508 ETH
During3860.013866.483841.003845.79-0.37%0.66%7,519 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before3851.503860.333844.993860.000.22%0.40%11,048 ETH
During3860.013866.483820.003839.27-0.54%1.20%16,652 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before3848.343860.333844.993860.000.30%0.40%16,151 ETH
During3860.013866.483820.003840.29-0.51%1.20%27,916 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before3849.503860.333842.863860.000.27%0.45%26,711 ETH
During3860.013866.483820.003849.02-0.29%1.20%53,536 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before3849.503860.333838.533860.000.27%0.56%43,639 ETH
During3860.013866.483817.273831.45-0.75%1.27%83,268 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before3864.113878.603838.533849.49-0.38%1.03%64,502 ETH
During3849.503866.483820.003849.02-0.01%1.20%80,246 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before3864.113878.603838.533860.00-0.11%1.03%91,213 ETH
During3860.013866.483760.003809.47-1.33%2.75%145,885 ETH

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