BTC Volatility Analysis for International Exports, 6th July 2018

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 6 July 2018 at 8:30 AM EDT. The International Exports in Goods and Services rose to $215.6B for May 2018, from $212.2B in April 2018.

It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services, International Imports in Goods and Services, Non-Farm Payrolls, Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 1.02x, against 1.10x for a typical International Exports release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.10x, against a typical 1.22x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $6,575.08 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.12% lower, and an hour later 0.25% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.7% of its price, against 1.98% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, International Exports releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 0.97x across 23, against 1.25x across 47. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.02x compares with 1.25x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About International Exports in Goods and Services

International Exports measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the amount of a country's exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

6,539.01

Close

6,590.16

24h Change

51.15 (0.78%)

24h High

6,648.54

24h Low

6,425.00

24h Volume

29,344 BTC

US International Exports in Goods and Services

Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis

6th July, 2018, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before6577.456578.266575.066576.50-0.01%0.05%13 BTC
During6575.086580.766575.006580.000.07%0.09%11 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before6573.836580.326571.846576.500.04%0.13%54 BTC
During6575.086580.766571.856575.020.00%0.14%65 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before6576.876584.996570.486576.50-0.01%0.22%137 BTC
During6575.086580.766561.506572.97-0.03%0.29%193 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before6591.676594.906566.666576.50-0.23%0.43%277 BTC
During6575.086580.766561.506566.89-0.12%0.29%297 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before6526.426648.546525.936576.500.76%1.84%1,492 BTC
During6575.086590.006561.506587.000.18%0.43%627 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before6520.736648.546518.196576.500.85%1.96%1,952 BTC
During6575.086590.006544.106558.68-0.25%0.70%1,179 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before6516.776648.546510.016576.500.91%2.08%3,067 BTC
During6575.086590.006544.106559.29-0.24%0.70%2,222 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before6519.886648.546480.446576.500.86%2.53%5,688 BTC
During6575.086590.006540.736553.11-0.34%0.75%4,543 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before6495.006648.546425.006576.501.24%3.36%9,385 BTC
During6575.086629.006512.466550.00-0.38%1.76%7,671 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before6539.016553.006425.006519.90-0.29%1.95%10,449 BTC
During6519.886648.546480.446553.110.51%2.53%10,231 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before6539.016648.546425.006576.500.57%3.36%16,137 BTC
During6575.086630.006512.466590.160.23%1.77%13,206 BTC

Your trading edge begins today.

Get Started Now