BTC Volatility Analysis for International Exports, 5th January 2018

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 5 January 2018 at 8:30 AM EST. The International Exports in Goods and Services rose to $206.9B for November 2017, from $202.9B in October 2017.

It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services, International Imports in Goods and Services, Non-Farm Payrolls, Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 1.01x, against 1.10x for a typical International Exports release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.90x, against a typical 1.22x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $16,010.12 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.62% higher, and an hour later 0.85% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.86% of its price, against 1.75% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, International Exports releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 0.97x across 23, against 1.25x across 47. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.01x compares with 1.25x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About International Exports in Goods and Services

International Exports measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the amount of a country's exports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move out of the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

14,973.01

Close

17,065.00

24h Change

2091.99 (12.26%)

24h High

17,176.24

24h Low

14,600.00

24h Volume

23,488 BTC

US International Exports in Goods and Services

Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis

5th January, 2018, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before16010.1016029.4916000.0016020.680.07%0.18%15 BTC
During16010.1216029.5015950.0216000.01-0.06%0.50%20 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before15930.2516029.4915928.0016020.680.56%0.63%117 BTC
During16010.1216049.9915950.0216042.010.20%0.62%79 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before15939.4516029.4915926.9016020.680.51%0.64%194 BTC
During16010.1216100.0015950.0216060.150.31%0.93%157 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before15969.9816029.4915898.9816020.680.32%0.81%252 BTC
During16010.1216110.0015950.0216109.010.61%0.99%213 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before15838.0016029.4915750.0016020.681.14%1.74%562 BTC
During16010.1216199.0015950.0216093.940.52%1.54%434 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before15889.9916029.4915750.0016020.680.82%1.74%1,134 BTC
During16010.1216199.0015901.0116145.890.84%1.84%898 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before15956.1816178.0015750.0016020.680.40%2.65%1,971 BTC
During16010.1216267.0415901.0116101.670.57%2.25%1,873 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before15850.1416350.0015750.0016020.681.06%3.67%3,914 BTC
During16010.1216695.0015901.0116650.013.84%4.76%3,607 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before14908.0016350.0014850.0016020.686.95%9.17%6,279 BTC
During16010.1217118.1315901.0116553.513.28%7.11%5,819 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before14973.0116111.0014600.0015851.005.54%9.38%7,829 BTC
During15850.1416695.0015750.0016650.014.80%5.66%7,521 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before14973.0116350.0014600.0016020.686.54%10.70%11,743 BTC
During16010.1217176.2415901.0117065.006.18%7.42%11,746 BTC

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