LINK Volatility Analysis for Initial Claims, 9th October 2025

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Chainlink's volatility ratio was 2.49x, against 1.43x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.50x, against a typical 1.63x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Chainlink moved

Chainlink was at $21.81 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.83% higher, and an hour later 0.23% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.33% of its price, against 0.78% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 9 October 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 233K for the week ending 4th Oct, from 225K in the week ending 27th Sep.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.45x across 93, against 1.38x across 208. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.49x compares with 1.38x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Chainlink's median volatility ratio is 1.43x.

About Initial Jobless Claims

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

LINK-USDT

Chainlink

Open

22.56

22.14

24h Change

-0.42 (-1.90%)

24h High

22.61

24h Low

21.32

24h Volume

3.337M LINK

US Initial Jobless Claims

Department of Labor

9th October, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Not published (US federal government shutdown). This release was not published. There are no figures for this period, and the chart shows the market around the time it was scheduled. This was during the US federal government shutdown.

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	21.82	21.83	21.81	21.81	-0.05%	0.09%	2,113 LINK
During	21.81	21.82	21.78	21.79	-0.09%	0.18%	1,969 LINK

5 Minutes
Before	21.81	21.83	21.79	21.81	0.00%	0.18%	13,465 LINK
During	21.81	21.82	21.75	21.82	0.05%	0.32%	23,900 LINK

10 Minutes
Before	21.83	21.85	21.79	21.81	-0.09%	0.27%	26,159 LINK
During	21.81	21.96	21.75	21.93	0.55%	0.96%	38,364 LINK

15 Minutes
Before	21.80	21.85	21.76	21.81	0.05%	0.41%	38,040 LINK
During	21.81	22.04	21.75	21.99	0.82%	1.32%	64,333 LINK

30 Minutes
Before	21.72	21.87	21.70	21.81	0.41%	0.78%	93,986 LINK
During	21.81	22.04	21.75	21.94	0.59%	1.32%	86,856 LINK

1 Hour
Before	21.80	21.87	21.70	21.81	0.05%	0.78%	162,000 LINK
During	21.81	22.04	21.75	21.86	0.23%	1.32%	130,733 LINK

2 Hours
Before	21.65	21.87	21.65	21.81	0.73%	1.01%	272,601 LINK
During	21.81	22.04	21.48	21.51	-1.39%	2.54%	400,625 LINK

4 Hours
Before	21.66	21.87	21.59	21.81	0.69%	1.28%	588,911 LINK
During	21.81	22.04	21.32	21.53	-1.30%	3.27%	917,822 LINK

6 Hours
Before	22.24	22.31	21.59	21.81	-1.97%	3.23%	858,053 LINK
During	21.81	22.04	21.32	21.85	0.18%	3.27%	1.326M LINK

8 Hours
Before	22.56	22.61	21.64	21.66	-4.16%	4.29%	962,701 LINK
During	21.66	22.04	21.32	21.53	-0.60%	3.27%	1.507M LINK

12 Hours
Before	22.56	22.61	21.59	21.81	-3.44%	4.51%	1.552M LINK
During	21.81	22.16	21.32	22.14	1.49%	3.79%	1.785M LINK