LINK Volatility Analysis for Initial Claims, 26th November 2025

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 26 November 2025 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 216K for the week ending 22nd Nov, from 220K in the week ending 15th Nov.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Chainlink moved

Chainlink was at $12.86 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.31% higher, and an hour later 0.47% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.01% of its price, against 0.78% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Chainlink's volatility ratio was 1.84x, against 1.43x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.66x, against a typical 1.63x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.45x across 93, against 1.38x across 208. This one came out 14 days before the Federal Reserve's 10 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.84x compares with 1.45x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Chainlink's median volatility ratio is 1.43x.

About Initial Jobless Claims

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

LINK-USDT

Chainlink

Open

13.07

13.45

24h Change

0.38 (2.83%)

24h High

13.54

24h Low

12.75

24h Volume

3.088M LINK

US Initial Jobless Claims

Department of Labor

26th November, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	12.86	12.86	12.85	12.86	0.00%	0.08%	1,866 LINK
During	12.86	12.88	12.84	12.85	-0.08%	0.31%	1,220 LINK

5 Minutes
Before	12.84	12.86	12.84	12.86	0.16%	0.16%	4,812 LINK
During	12.86	12.88	12.82	12.83	-0.23%	0.47%	4,660 LINK

10 Minutes
Before	12.84	12.87	12.83	12.86	0.16%	0.31%	14,937 LINK
During	12.86	12.91	12.82	12.90	0.31%	0.70%	8,664 LINK

15 Minutes
Before	12.81	12.87	12.81	12.86	0.39%	0.47%	19,598 LINK
During	12.86	12.93	12.82	12.90	0.31%	0.85%	13,290 LINK

30 Minutes
Before	12.79	12.87	12.78	12.86	0.54%	0.70%	31,771 LINK
During	12.86	12.93	12.82	12.92	0.46%	0.85%	33,013 LINK

1 Hour
Before	12.79	12.87	12.77	12.86	0.54%	0.78%	54,488 LINK
During	12.86	12.95	12.82	12.92	0.46%	1.00%	68,721 LINK

2 Hours
Before	12.83	12.87	12.75	12.86	0.23%	0.93%	158,380 LINK
During	12.86	13.01	12.82	12.93	0.54%	1.46%	200,617 LINK

4 Hours
Before	12.90	12.95	12.75	12.86	-0.31%	1.54%	669,937 LINK
During	12.86	13.19	12.80	13.18	2.43%	2.96%	442,095 LINK

6 Hours
Before	13.05	13.09	12.75	12.86	-1.48%	2.60%	856,404 LINK
During	12.86	13.51	12.80	13.42	4.17%	5.26%	1.096M LINK

8 Hours
Before	13.07	13.17	12.88	12.90	-1.32%	2.20%	697,026 LINK
During	12.90	13.19	12.75	13.18	2.12%	3.34%	1.112M LINK

12 Hours
Before	13.07	13.17	12.75	12.86	-1.63%	3.19%	1.367M LINK
During	12.86	13.54	12.80	13.45	4.39%	5.47%	1.721M LINK