LINK Volatility Analysis for Initial Claims, 29th January 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 29 January 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 211K for the week ending 24th Jan, from 210K in the week ending 17th Jan.

It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services, International Imports in Goods and Services, International Exports in Goods and Services and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Chainlink's volatility ratio was 0.57x, against 1.43x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.31x, against a typical 1.63x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Chainlink moved

Chainlink was at $11.61 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.17% lower, and an hour later 0.78% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.78% of its price, against 0.95% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.45x across 93, against 1.38x across 208. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 28 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.57x compares with 1.38x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About Initial Jobless Claims

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

LINK-USDT

Chainlink

Open

11.78

11.09

24h Change

-0.69 (-6.22%)

24h High

11.82

24h Low

10.83

24h Volume

3.715M LINK

US Initial Jobless Claims

Department of Labor

29th January, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	11.60	11.61	11.60	11.60	0.00%	0.09%	855 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	11.58	11.59	-0.17%	0.26%	986 LINK

5 Minutes
Before	11.59	11.61	11.59	11.60	0.09%	0.17%	3,099 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	11.58	11.61	0.00%	0.26%	2,874 LINK

10 Minutes
Before	11.58	11.61	11.58	11.60	0.17%	0.26%	5,089 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	11.58	11.60	-0.09%	0.26%	3,451 LINK

15 Minutes
Before	11.58	11.61	11.57	11.60	0.17%	0.34%	6,848 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	11.58	11.59	-0.17%	0.26%	5,991 LINK

30 Minutes
Before	11.56	11.61	11.56	11.60	0.34%	0.43%	26,172 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	11.56	11.59	-0.17%	0.43%	43,292 LINK

1 Hour
Before	11.57	11.61	11.50	11.60	0.26%	0.95%	60,554 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	11.52	11.52	-0.78%	0.78%	95,887 LINK

2 Hours
Before	11.52	11.61	11.50	11.60	0.69%	0.95%	96,024 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	10.94	11.06	-4.97%	5.77%	960,219 LINK

4 Hours
Before	11.59	11.62	11.50	11.60	0.09%	1.03%	208,192 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	10.86	11.10	-4.59%	6.46%	1.705M LINK

6 Hours
Before	11.62	11.67	11.50	11.60	-0.17%	1.46%	292,207 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	10.83	10.90	-6.51%	6.72%	2.397M LINK

8 Hours
Before	11.78	11.82	11.54	11.59	-1.64%	2.37%	442,653 LINK
During	11.59	11.62	10.86	11.10	-4.41%	6.54%	1.913M LINK

12 Hours
Before	11.78	11.82	11.50	11.60	-1.55%	2.71%	650,844 LINK
During	11.61	11.61	10.83	11.09	-4.69%	6.72%	3.064M LINK