LINK Volatility Analysis for Initial Claims, 23rd July 2026

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Chainlink's volatility ratio was 2.97x, against 1.43x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.28x, against a typical 1.63x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Chainlink moved

Chainlink was at $8.61 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.58% lower, and an hour later 1.39% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.39% of its price, against 0.58% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 23 July 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 187K for the week ending 18th Jul, from 208K in the week ending 11th Jul.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.45x across 93, against 1.38x across 208. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 29 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.97x compares with 1.45x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Chainlink's median volatility ratio is 1.43x.

About Initial Jobless Claims

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

LINK-USDT

Chainlink

Open

8.67

Close

8.44

24h Change

-0.23 (-2.73%)

24h High

8.67

24h Low

8.41

24h Volume

924,191 LINK

US Initial Jobless Claims

Department of Labor

23rd July, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before8.618.618.618.610.00%0.00%8 LINK
During8.618.618.618.610.00%0.00%1,526 LINK
 
5 Minutes
Before8.618.618.618.610.00%0.00%2,431 LINK
During8.618.618.588.59-0.23%0.35%6,767 LINK
 
10 Minutes
Before8.618.628.608.610.00%0.23%5,721 LINK
During8.618.618.558.57-0.47%0.70%19,528 LINK
 
15 Minutes
Before8.638.648.608.61-0.23%0.46%17,464 LINK
During8.618.618.558.56-0.58%0.70%30,705 LINK
 
30 Minutes
Before8.648.648.608.61-0.35%0.46%22,355 LINK
During8.618.618.518.54-0.82%1.16%54,948 LINK
 
1 Hour
Before8.648.658.608.61-0.35%0.58%37,357 LINK
During8.618.618.498.49-1.41%1.39%92,844 LINK
 
2 Hours
Before8.658.668.608.61-0.46%0.69%64,161 LINK
During8.618.618.478.51-1.18%1.63%169,501 LINK
 
4 Hours
Before8.568.668.568.610.58%1.15%145,747 LINK
During8.618.618.418.49-1.41%2.32%286,635 LINK
 
6 Hours
Before8.598.668.528.610.23%1.62%210,631 LINK
During8.618.618.418.48-1.53%2.32%408,463 LINK
 
8 Hours
Before8.678.678.528.56-1.29%1.73%232,712 LINK
During8.568.668.418.49-0.82%2.89%432,382 LINK
 
12 Hours
Before8.678.678.528.61-0.70%1.73%378,459 LINK
During8.618.618.418.44-2.01%2.32%545,732 LINK

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