LINK Volatility Analysis for Initial Claims, 10th April 2025

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Chainlink's volatility ratio was 2.00x, against 1.43x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 6.63x, against a typical 1.63x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Chainlink moved

Chainlink was at $12.53 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.72% lower, and an hour later 1.04% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.47% of its price, against 2.63% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 10 April 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 224K for the week ending 5th Apr, from 219K in the week ending 29th Mar.

It arrived at the same moment as Consumer Price Index, Core Consumer Price Index, Core Inflation Rate and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.45x across 93, against 1.38x across 208. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.00x compares with 1.38x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Chainlink's median volatility ratio is 1.43x.

About Initial Jobless Claims

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

LINK-USDT

Chainlink

Open

12.54

Close

12.11

24h Change

-0.43 (-3.55%)

24h High

12.62

24h Low

11.68

24h Volume

4.132M LINK

US Initial Jobless Claims

Department of Labor

10th April, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before12.4612.6212.4612.520.48%1.27%79,720 LINK
During12.5312.6112.5312.600.56%0.63%98,248 LINK
 
5 Minutes
Before12.4012.6212.3912.520.96%1.82%89,179 LINK
During12.5312.6112.4312.47-0.48%1.43%150,873 LINK
 
10 Minutes
Before12.4212.6212.3912.520.80%1.82%95,982 LINK
During12.5312.6112.4312.48-0.40%1.43%165,843 LINK
 
15 Minutes
Before12.4012.6212.3712.520.96%1.98%116,158 LINK
During12.5312.6112.4312.44-0.72%1.43%180,133 LINK
 
30 Minutes
Before12.4012.6212.3412.520.96%2.22%202,244 LINK
During12.5312.6112.3012.36-1.38%2.46%229,129 LINK
 
1 Hour
Before12.2912.6212.2912.521.84%2.61%248,839 LINK
During12.5312.6112.3012.40-1.05%2.46%298,630 LINK
 
2 Hours
Before12.3412.6212.2712.521.44%2.77%392,221 LINK
During12.5312.6112.1812.33-1.62%3.41%602,656 LINK
 
4 Hours
Before12.3412.6212.2612.521.44%2.85%535,618 LINK
During12.5312.6111.6811.73-6.82%7.38%1.661M LINK
 
6 Hours
Before12.4212.6212.2412.520.80%3.01%743,771 LINK
During12.5312.6111.6811.99-4.50%7.38%2.158M LINK
 
8 Hours
Before12.5412.5512.1612.34-1.62%3.11%896,979 LINK
During12.3412.6211.6811.73-5.20%7.45%2.197M LINK
 
12 Hours
Before12.5412.6212.1612.52-0.16%3.65%1.433M LINK
During12.5312.6111.6812.11-3.47%7.38%2.699M LINK

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