LINK Volatility Analysis for Initial Claims, 27th March 2025

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 27 March 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims was unchanged at 225K for the week ending 22nd Mar.

It arrived at the same moment as Gross Domestic Product Report and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Chainlink's volatility ratio was 1.44x, against 1.43x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.41x, against a typical 1.63x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Chainlink moved

Chainlink was at $15.58 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.06% higher, and an hour later 0.9% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.54% of its price, against 1.35% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.45x across 93, against 1.38x across 208. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.44x compares with 1.38x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

About Initial Jobless Claims

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

LINK-USDT

Chainlink

Open

15.29

15.41

24h Change

0.12 (0.78%)

24h High

15.80

24h Low

15.26

24h Volume

2.526M LINK

US Initial Jobless Claims

Department of Labor

27th March, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	15.56	15.59	15.55	15.59	0.19%	0.26%	1,962 LINK
During	15.58	15.61	15.56	15.61	0.19%	0.32%	3,638 LINK

5 Minutes
Before	15.53	15.59	15.52	15.59	0.38%	0.45%	8,214 LINK
During	15.58	15.63	15.50	15.51	-0.45%	0.83%	12,225 LINK

10 Minutes
Before	15.56	15.59	15.45	15.59	0.19%	0.90%	12,877 LINK
During	15.58	15.63	15.50	15.61	0.19%	0.83%	23,096 LINK

15 Minutes
Before	15.52	15.59	15.45	15.59	0.45%	0.90%	21,889 LINK
During	15.58	15.63	15.50	15.59	0.06%	0.83%	31,922 LINK

30 Minutes
Before	15.50	15.59	15.41	15.59	0.58%	1.15%	198,510 LINK
During	15.58	15.63	15.50	15.56	-0.13%	0.83%	62,074 LINK

1 Hour
Before	15.55	15.62	15.41	15.59	0.26%	1.34%	275,515 LINK
During	15.58	15.63	15.39	15.44	-0.91%	1.54%	148,359 LINK

2 Hours
Before	15.70	15.75	15.41	15.59	-0.71%	2.16%	391,327 LINK
During	15.58	15.63	15.26	15.56	-0.13%	2.37%	404,703 LINK

4 Hours
Before	15.65	15.75	15.41	15.59	-0.38%	2.16%	588,770 LINK
During	15.58	15.80	15.26	15.48	-0.65%	3.42%	700,530 LINK

6 Hours
Before	15.67	15.75	15.41	15.59	-0.51%	2.16%	745,744 LINK
During	15.58	15.80	15.26	15.39	-1.23%	3.42%	846,531 LINK

8 Hours
Before	15.29	15.79	15.27	15.65	2.30%	3.29%	738,072 LINK
During	15.65	15.80	15.26	15.48	-1.10%	3.42%	1.289M LINK

12 Hours
Before	15.29	15.79	15.27	15.59	1.92%	3.29%	1.327M LINK
During	15.58	15.80	15.26	15.41	-1.10%	3.42%	1.199M LINK