ETH Volatility Analysis for GDP Report, 25th June 2026

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 3.66x, against 1.75x for a typical GDP Report release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.16x, against a typical 1.78x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $1,627.12 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.62% higher, and an hour later 0.45% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.43% of its price, against 0.65% in the hour before.

The Gross Domestic Product Report came out on 25 June 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Personal Income and Outlays, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, GDP Report releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.32x across 16, against 1.65x across 52. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 3.66x compares with 1.65x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 68 GDP Report releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 1.75x.

About Gross Domestic Product Report

The GDP report is one of the BEA's most crucial outputs. It tells us the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. GDP gives the public an indication of an economy's size. Moreover, when compared against prior periods, this data can reveal whether the economy is expanding (producing more goods and services) or contracting (registering declining output). The direction of GDP helps central banks determine whether it is necessary to intervene with monetary policy or not.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

1,620.55

Close

1,569.00

24h Change

-51.55 (-3.29%)

24h High

1,660.54

24h Low

1,532.90

24h Volume

440,183 ETH

US Gross Domestic Product Report

Bureau of Economic Analysis

25th June, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before1625.901627.961625.901627.110.07%0.13%589 ETH
During1627.121650.381627.121641.760.89%1.41%4,657 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before1630.541631.891624.711627.11-0.21%0.44%1,758 ETH
During1627.121650.381627.121636.000.54%1.41%6,391 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before1629.691631.891624.711627.11-0.16%0.44%2,370 ETH
During1627.121650.381627.121637.800.65%1.41%7,451 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before1631.811632.011624.711627.11-0.29%0.45%2,718 ETH
During1627.121650.381627.121637.210.62%1.41%8,147 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before1633.281634.721624.711627.11-0.38%0.61%3,960 ETH
During1627.121650.381627.121635.810.53%1.41%10,122 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before1630.891635.221624.711627.11-0.23%0.64%11,080 ETH
During1627.121650.381627.121634.500.45%1.41%14,447 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before1643.441644.191624.711627.11-1.00%1.18%32,713 ETH
During1627.121650.381532.901563.85-4.05%7.12%125,126 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before1653.421655.411624.711627.11-1.62%1.85%45,510 ETH
During1627.121650.381532.901576.52-3.21%7.12%212,964 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before1648.531660.541624.711627.11-1.32%2.16%66,692 ETH
During1627.121650.381532.901573.52-3.41%7.12%246,671 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before1620.551660.541614.691653.421.99%2.76%86,919 ETH
During1653.421655.411532.901576.52-4.88%7.40%258,474 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before1620.551660.541614.691627.110.40%2.76%132,428 ETH
During1627.121650.381532.901569.00-3.70%7.12%307,755 ETH

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