Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 7.92x, against 4.18x for a typical Fed Interest Rate release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 13.83x, against a typical 7.50x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $2,027.70 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.06% higher, and an hour later 0.9% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.33% of its price, against 1.67% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Federal Open Market Committee on 19 March 2025 at 2:00 PM EDT. The Federal Open Market Committee held its target range for the federal funds rate at 4.25–4.50%.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Fed decisions that changed the rate have moved Ethereum more than those that held it: a median volatility ratio of 5.50x across 18, against 3.49x across 28. This one held it. Its own ratio of 7.92x compares with 3.49x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 46 Fed Interest Rate releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 4.18x.
What it means
Ethereum recorded a strong reaction to the Federal Open Market Committee decision that left the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 4.25 to 4.50 percent. Volatility reached 7.92x against the 4.18x median recorded across 46 prior releases since 2021, while volume expanded to 13.83x versus the typical 7.50x. The outcome also exceeded the 3.49x median observed for previous hold decisions.
Price movement remained contained in the opening minutes, advancing 0.06 percent from the $2,027.70 dollar level within fifteen minutes. The gain widened to 0.9 percent after one hour, with the hourly high-to-low range expanding to 3.33 percent of price from 1.67 percent beforehand.
Rate-hold announcements have produced lower median volatility than changes since 2021, at 3.49x across 28 instances versus 5.50x across 18 changes. This release surpassed both the hold median and the overall event median, confirming an outsized response relative to its policy circumstances.
Traders monitoring upcoming meetings may note that the combination of an unchanged rate with updated projections and the dot plot can still elevate activity, indicating value in watching the full communications package even when the rate decision itself is anticipated.
About Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has eight regularly scheduled meetings each year, but they can meet more often if the need should arise. The meetings are not held in public and are therefore the subject of much speculation on Wall Street, as analysts attempt to predict whether the Fed will tighten or loosen the money supply with a resulting increase or decrease in interest rates.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
1,939.05Close
2,017.1824h Change
78.13 (3.87%)24h High
2,069.9024h Low
1,930.9924h Volume
661,250 ETHUS Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
Federal Open Market Committee
19th March, 2025, 2:00PM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 2026.72 | 2027.69 | 2025.08 | 2027.69 | 0.05% | 0.13% | 400 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2064.91 | 2017.17 | 2042.62 | 0.73% | 2.31% | 12,249 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 2024.07 | 2030.39 | 2024.07 | 2027.69 | 0.18% | 0.31% | 1,981 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2064.91 | 2017.17 | 2028.07 | 0.02% | 2.31% | 26,587 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 2018.93 | 2030.39 | 2018.93 | 2027.69 | 0.43% | 0.56% | 4,795 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2064.91 | 1997.33 | 2020.27 | -0.37% | 3.27% | 41,679 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 2020.00 | 2030.39 | 2015.33 | 2027.69 | 0.38% | 0.74% | 12,909 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2064.91 | 1997.33 | 2028.99 | 0.06% | 3.27% | 48,729 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 2038.95 | 2039.40 | 2015.33 | 2027.69 | -0.56% | 1.18% | 28,156 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2064.91 | 1997.33 | 2017.84 | -0.49% | 3.27% | 61,278 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 2048.34 | 2049.28 | 2015.33 | 2027.69 | -1.02% | 1.66% | 35,051 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2064.91 | 1997.33 | 2045.88 | 0.89% | 3.27% | 83,229 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 2049.00 | 2051.01 | 2015.33 | 2027.69 | -1.05% | 1.74% | 66,914 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2064.91 | 1997.33 | 2031.06 | 0.17% | 3.27% | 112,164 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 2016.60 | 2056.99 | 2015.33 | 2027.69 | 0.55% | 2.03% | 139,985 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2064.91 | 1997.33 | 2040.46 | 0.63% | 3.27% | 131,780 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 2028.00 | 2056.99 | 1994.65 | 2027.69 | -0.02% | 3.03% | 219,998 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2069.90 | 1997.33 | 2056.06 | 1.38% | 3.51% | 164,091 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1939.05 | 2033.79 | 1930.99 | 2016.59 | 3.85% | 5.05% | 278,490 ETH |
| During | 2016.60 | 2064.91 | 1997.33 | 2040.46 | 1.17% | 3.27% | 271,764 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1939.05 | 2056.99 | 1930.99 | 2027.69 | 4.37% | 6.13% | 418,474 ETH |
| During | 2027.70 | 2069.90 | 1997.33 | 2017.18 | -0.52% | 3.51% | 242,776 ETH |
