Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 6.29x, against 4.18x for a typical Fed Interest Rate release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 10.31x, against a typical 7.50x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $1,789.27 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.36% lower, and an hour later 1.06% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.4% of its price, against 1.6% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Federal Open Market Committee on 17 June 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The Federal Open Market Committee held its target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Fed decisions that changed the rate have moved Ethereum more than those that held it: a median volatility ratio of 5.50x across 18, against 3.49x across 28. This one held it. Its own ratio of 6.29x compares with 3.49x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 46 Fed Interest Rate releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 4.18x.
What it means
Ethereum recorded a strong reaction to the Federal Open Market Committee decision that held the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50 to 3.75 percent. Volatility reached 6.29 times the level seen in an ordinary quarter hour that day, well above the 4.18 times median across 46 Fed Interest Rate releases since 2021. Volume expanded to 10.31 times normal, compared with the 7.50 times typical for the event.
The price stood at $1,789.27 at the 2:00 PM EDT release. It fell 1.36 percent within fifteen minutes and 1.06 percent within the hour. The high-to-low range in that first hour reached 2.4 percent of the prevailing price, against 1.6 percent in the hour before the announcement.
Decisions that left rates unchanged have produced a median volatility ratio of only 3.49 times since 2021. This release exceeded that benchmark by a wide margin, showing that the market response was larger than the circumstances of a hold alone would indicate. Clometrix classifies the outcome as strong relative to the event's own history.
Traders may note that the combination of the Summary of Economic Projections and dot plot with an unchanged rate still generated outsized movement on this occasion. The record offers no guarantee for future releases, yet it illustrates that even a steady policy stance can coincide with elevated volatility when projections are updated.
About Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has eight regularly scheduled meetings each year, but they can meet more often if the need should arise. The meetings are not held in public and are therefore the subject of much speculation on Wall Street, as analysts attempt to predict whether the Fed will tighten or loosen the money supply with a resulting increase or decrease in interest rates.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
1,793.98Close
1,730.9724h Change
-63.01 (-3.64%)24h High
1,797.2024h Low
1,722.2424h Volume
343,845 ETHUS Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
Federal Open Market Committee
17th June, 2026, 2:00PM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 1786.28 | 1789.28 | 1786.27 | 1789.27 | 0.17% | 0.17% | 290 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1765.00 | 1767.44 | -1.24% | 1.36% | 5,971 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1790.29 | 1796.08 | 1785.59 | 1789.27 | -0.06% | 0.58% | 3,113 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1757.00 | 1757.82 | -1.79% | 1.81% | 12,359 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1775.81 | 1796.08 | 1775.48 | 1789.27 | 0.75% | 1.15% | 5,421 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1746.42 | 1766.93 | -1.26% | 2.40% | 19,207 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1774.69 | 1796.08 | 1773.38 | 1789.27 | 0.81% | 1.26% | 6,602 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1746.42 | 1764.97 | -1.38% | 2.40% | 21,761 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 1777.93 | 1796.08 | 1773.38 | 1789.27 | 0.63% | 1.26% | 8,257 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1746.42 | 1766.96 | -1.26% | 2.40% | 26,660 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 1772.03 | 1796.08 | 1767.54 | 1789.27 | 0.96% | 1.59% | 12,710 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1746.42 | 1770.32 | -1.07% | 2.40% | 45,098 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1773.42 | 1796.08 | 1767.54 | 1789.27 | 0.89% | 1.59% | 33,231 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1729.26 | 1734.72 | -3.14% | 3.36% | 93,142 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1761.24 | 1796.08 | 1741.05 | 1789.27 | 1.57% | 3.06% | 71,889 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1729.26 | 1738.90 | -2.90% | 3.36% | 112,503 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1763.93 | 1796.08 | 1741.05 | 1789.27 | 1.42% | 3.06% | 115,360 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1725.34 | 1750.60 | -2.21% | 3.58% | 129,235 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1793.98 | 1797.20 | 1742.94 | 1761.25 | -1.86% | 3.02% | 91,407 ETH |
| During | 1761.24 | 1796.08 | 1729.26 | 1738.90 | -1.28% | 3.72% | 184,392 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 1793.98 | 1797.20 | 1741.05 | 1789.27 | -0.26% | 3.12% | 163,296 ETH |
| During | 1789.27 | 1789.40 | 1722.24 | 1730.97 | -3.37% | 3.75% | 180,549 ETH |
