Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Census on 21 December 2018 at 8:30 AM EST. Durable Goods Orders came in at -1.2% for November 2018, against -3.7% in October 2018. Durable goods orders are still falling, but more slowly than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation and Gross Domestic Product Report, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 0.91x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.25x, against a typical 1.57x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $115.32 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.62% lower, and an hour later 2.01% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.14% of its price, against 2.24% in the hour before.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.66x across 19, against 1.30x across 49. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 19 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.91x compares with 1.30x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
About Durable Goods Orders
The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
114.61Close
107.2724h Change
-7.34 (-6.84%)24h High
118.0024h Low
104.7624h Volume
640,882 ETHUS Durable Goods Orders
Bureau of Census
21st December, 2018, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 115.36 | 115.36 | 115.09 | 115.30 | -0.05% | 0.23% | 230 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.34 | 115.00 | 115.13 | -0.17% | 0.29% | 434 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 115.94 | 115.98 | 115.00 | 115.30 | -0.56% | 0.84% | 2,735 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 114.60 | 114.65 | -0.58% | 0.68% | 3,043 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 115.92 | 116.37 | 115.00 | 115.30 | -0.54% | 1.18% | 5,527 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 114.17 | 114.91 | -0.36% | 1.06% | 5,657 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 115.66 | 116.37 | 115.00 | 115.30 | -0.31% | 1.18% | 7,205 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 114.17 | 114.60 | -0.63% | 1.06% | 7,124 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 115.03 | 116.49 | 114.87 | 115.30 | 0.23% | 1.39% | 15,366 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 114.11 | 114.85 | -0.41% | 1.11% | 13,671 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 113.94 | 116.49 | 113.91 | 115.30 | 1.18% | 2.21% | 35,340 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 112.92 | 113.00 | -2.05% | 2.14% | 28,386 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 114.05 | 116.49 | 112.69 | 115.30 | 1.08% | 3.26% | 58,143 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 111.72 | 112.02 | -2.95% | 3.18% | 52,709 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 112.86 | 116.49 | 111.53 | 115.30 | 2.12% | 4.26% | 95,022 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 109.00 | 110.54 | -4.32% | 5.54% | 110,271 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 112.10 | 116.49 | 111.06 | 115.30 | 2.78% | 4.66% | 141,750 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 107.26 | 108.23 | -6.55% | 7.05% | 168,305 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 114.61 | 118.00 | 109.00 | 112.85 | -1.56% | 7.63% | 242,023 ETH |
| During | 112.86 | 116.49 | 109.00 | 110.54 | -2.10% | 6.43% | 205,294 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 114.61 | 118.00 | 109.00 | 115.30 | 0.60% | 7.63% | 337,046 ETH |
| During | 115.32 | 115.39 | 104.76 | 107.27 | -7.50% | 9.21% | 303,836 ETH |
