ETH Volatility Analysis for Durable Orders, 25th July 2019

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 25 July 2019 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at 0.1% for June 2019, against -3.5% in May 2019. Durable goods orders are rising again, after a fall.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 0.76x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.83x, against a typical 1.57x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $223.37 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 1.28% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.41% of its price, against 1.04% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.66x across 19, against 1.30x across 49. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 31 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.76x compares with 1.66x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About Durable Goods Orders

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

218.59

Close

215.92

24h Change

-2.67 (-1.24%)

24h High

225.12

24h Low

214.60

24h Volume

289,812 ETH

US Durable Goods Orders

Bureau of Census

25th July, 2019, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before223.84223.89223.21223.40-0.20%0.30%245 ETH
During223.37223.62223.21223.31-0.03%0.18%270 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before224.07224.35223.21223.40-0.30%0.51%2,077 ETH
During223.37223.68223.13223.580.09%0.25%2,205 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before223.28224.35223.21223.400.05%0.51%3,766 ETH
During223.37223.83223.13223.750.17%0.31%3,141 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before223.14224.35222.71223.400.12%0.73%5,060 ETH
During223.37223.86223.13223.35-0.01%0.33%3,632 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before222.07224.35222.04223.400.60%1.03%7,908 ETH
During223.37224.55223.13224.120.33%0.63%5,944 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before222.19224.35222.02223.400.54%1.04%12,955 ETH
During223.37224.55216.93220.52-1.29%3.39%23,598 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before221.66224.35221.58223.400.78%1.23%18,902 ETH
During223.37224.55216.93220.51-1.30%3.39%36,535 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before221.66224.35221.29223.400.78%1.36%38,269 ETH
During223.37224.55216.93220.47-1.32%3.39%63,436 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before220.79224.35220.50223.401.17%1.72%52,382 ETH
During223.37224.55216.93221.53-0.83%3.39%73,958 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before218.59225.12216.97221.671.39%3.62%114,716 ETH
During221.66224.55216.93220.47-0.54%3.39%101,705 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before218.59225.12216.97223.402.15%3.62%152,985 ETH
During223.37224.55214.60215.92-3.45%4.43%136,827 ETH

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