Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Census on 25 July 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at -9.4% for June 2025, against 16.5% in May 2025. Durable goods orders are falling, after a rise.
It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How Ethereum moved
Ethereum was at $3,714.84 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.39% higher, and an hour later 0.26% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.06% of its price, against 0.83% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Ethereum's volatility ratio was 1.66x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.07x, against a typical 1.57x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.66x across 19, against 1.30x across 49. This one came out 5 days before the Federal Reserve's 30 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.66x compares with 1.66x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.
Its record
Across 68 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 1.34x.
About Durable Goods Orders
The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
ETH-USDT
Ethereum
Open
3,685.81Close
3,727.6224h Change
41.81 (1.12%)24h High
3,747.0024h Low
3,573.7624h Volume
757,499 ETHUS Durable Goods Orders
Bureau of Census
25th July, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 3718.04 | 3718.04 | 3714.23 | 3714.83 | -0.09% | 0.10% | 204 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3719.40 | 3714.56 | 3718.99 | 0.11% | 0.13% | 197 ETH |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 3712.51 | 3718.26 | 3712.51 | 3714.83 | 0.06% | 0.15% | 1,245 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3721.42 | 3702.12 | 3708.24 | -0.18% | 0.52% | 4,066 ETH |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 3717.91 | 3721.50 | 3710.16 | 3714.83 | -0.08% | 0.30% | 3,327 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3721.42 | 3702.12 | 3718.25 | 0.09% | 0.52% | 5,229 ETH |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 3727.94 | 3730.87 | 3710.16 | 3714.83 | -0.35% | 0.56% | 4,390 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3733.30 | 3702.12 | 3729.23 | 0.39% | 0.84% | 7,793 ETH |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 3721.37 | 3735.00 | 3710.16 | 3714.83 | -0.18% | 0.67% | 9,935 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3733.30 | 3694.03 | 3704.45 | -0.28% | 1.05% | 16,951 ETH |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 3738.77 | 3740.96 | 3710.16 | 3714.83 | -0.64% | 0.82% | 20,679 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3733.30 | 3694.03 | 3705.26 | -0.26% | 1.05% | 30,363 ETH |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3707.69 | 3744.00 | 3707.46 | 3714.83 | 0.19% | 0.98% | 42,052 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3733.30 | 3673.15 | 3681.50 | -0.91% | 1.61% | 72,320 ETH |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3665.70 | 3747.00 | 3639.38 | 3714.83 | 1.32% | 2.87% | 141,103 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3733.30 | 3601.56 | 3630.72 | -2.32% | 3.53% | 158,472 ETH |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3623.90 | 3747.00 | 3599.44 | 3714.83 | 2.45% | 3.94% | 218,438 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3733.30 | 3601.56 | 3649.89 | -1.78% | 3.53% | 207,940 ETH |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3685.81 | 3691.30 | 3573.76 | 3665.70 | -0.55% | 3.18% | 320,857 ETH |
| During | 3665.70 | 3747.00 | 3601.56 | 3630.72 | -0.96% | 3.88% | 299,575 ETH |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 3685.81 | 3747.00 | 3573.76 | 3714.83 | 0.78% | 4.62% | 461,960 ETH |
| During | 3714.84 | 3733.30 | 3601.56 | 3727.62 | 0.34% | 3.53% | 295,539 ETH |
