Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Census on 26 July 2018 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at 0.3% for June 2018, against -0.3% in May 2018. Durable goods orders are rising again, after a fall.
It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 1.16x, against 1.45x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.34x, against a typical 1.59x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $8,195.59 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.19% higher, and an hour later 0.41% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.77% of its price, against 0.91% in the hour before.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.48x across 19, against 1.43x across 49. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 1 August rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.16x compares with 1.48x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.
About Durable Goods Orders
The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
8,200.06Close
7,908.6424h Change
-291.42 (-3.68%)24h High
8,315.6924h Low
7,850.0624h Volume
43,558 BTCUS Durable Goods Orders
Bureau of Census
26th July, 2018, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 8197.76 | 8198.47 | 8195.00 | 8195.60 | -0.03% | 0.04% | 15 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8197.76 | 8194.10 | 8194.20 | -0.02% | 0.04% | 16 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 8211.98 | 8214.03 | 8190.00 | 8195.60 | -0.20% | 0.29% | 215 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8197.76 | 8180.00 | 8192.35 | -0.04% | 0.22% | 140 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 8219.00 | 8223.39 | 8190.00 | 8195.60 | -0.29% | 0.41% | 352 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8216.39 | 8180.00 | 8208.00 | 0.15% | 0.44% | 305 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 8221.85 | 8224.98 | 8190.00 | 8195.60 | -0.32% | 0.43% | 476 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8216.39 | 8180.00 | 8211.00 | 0.19% | 0.44% | 427 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 8255.29 | 8260.00 | 8190.00 | 8195.60 | -0.73% | 0.85% | 897 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8239.98 | 8180.00 | 8236.42 | 0.50% | 0.73% | 688 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 8249.97 | 8264.55 | 8190.00 | 8195.60 | -0.66% | 0.90% | 1,431 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8243.00 | 8180.00 | 8229.52 | 0.41% | 0.76% | 1,253 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 8302.40 | 8313.99 | 8190.00 | 8195.60 | -1.30% | 1.49% | 2,804 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8243.00 | 8180.00 | 8190.01 | -0.07% | 0.76% | 2,531 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 8251.81 | 8313.99 | 8190.00 | 8195.60 | -0.69% | 1.49% | 5,980 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8243.00 | 8180.00 | 8204.12 | 0.10% | 0.76% | 4,585 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 8211.86 | 8315.69 | 8190.00 | 8195.60 | -0.20% | 1.51% | 8,861 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8255.04 | 8180.00 | 8228.01 | 0.39% | 0.91% | 6,713 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 8200.06 | 8315.69 | 8169.26 | 8257.21 | 0.69% | 1.76% | 10,262 BTC |
| During | 8251.81 | 8313.99 | 8180.00 | 8204.12 | -0.58% | 1.61% | 10,565 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 8200.06 | 8315.69 | 8169.26 | 8195.60 | -0.05% | 1.76% | 16,241 BTC |
| During | 8195.59 | 8299.08 | 7850.06 | 7908.64 | -3.63% | 5.41% | 27,317 BTC |
