Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 2.17x, against 1.45x for a typical Durable Orders Ex Transportation release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.01x, against a typical 1.59x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $87,830.92 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.12% lower, and an hour later 0.21% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.54% of its price, against 0.41% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Bureau of Census on 23 December 2025 at 8:30 AM EST. The Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation came in at 0.2% for October 2025, against 0.6% in September 2025. Durable goods orders excluding transportation are still rising, but more slowly than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders and Gross Domestic Product Report, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Durable Orders Ex Transportation releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.48x across 19, against 1.43x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.17x compares with 1.43x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 68 Durable Orders Ex Transportation releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 1.45x.
About Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation
The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders ex transportation reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) excluding transportation equipment in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
88,587.05Close
87,665.8624h Change
-921.19 (-1.05%)24h High
88,755.2424h Low
86,601.9024h Volume
14,079 BTCUS Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation
Bureau of Census
23rd December, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 87870.89 | 87870.90 | 87789.55 | 87830.93 | -0.05% | 0.09% | 19 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 87840.00 | 87754.19 | 87818.83 | -0.01% | 0.10% | 16 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 87708.98 | 87891.89 | 87664.19 | 87830.93 | 0.14% | 0.26% | 39 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 87902.00 | 87754.19 | 87864.24 | 0.04% | 0.17% | 36 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 87800.00 | 87891.89 | 87664.19 | 87830.93 | 0.04% | 0.26% | 65 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 87902.00 | 87426.70 | 87593.14 | -0.27% | 0.54% | 176 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 87771.90 | 87891.89 | 87664.19 | 87830.93 | 0.07% | 0.26% | 82 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 87902.00 | 87426.70 | 87721.78 | -0.12% | 0.54% | 227 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 87789.18 | 87891.89 | 87664.19 | 87830.93 | 0.05% | 0.26% | 185 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 87902.00 | 87426.70 | 87616.67 | -0.24% | 0.54% | 373 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 87654.97 | 87963.03 | 87600.00 | 87830.93 | 0.20% | 0.41% | 350 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 87902.00 | 87426.70 | 87646.60 | -0.21% | 0.54% | 608 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 87754.50 | 87963.03 | 87600.00 | 87830.93 | 0.09% | 0.41% | 732 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 87902.00 | 86601.90 | 87292.51 | -0.62% | 1.48% | 2,504 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 87434.00 | 87963.03 | 87297.69 | 87830.93 | 0.45% | 0.76% | 1,381 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 88275.40 | 86601.90 | 87733.19 | -0.11% | 1.90% | 4,386 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 87595.41 | 87963.03 | 87297.69 | 87830.93 | 0.27% | 0.76% | 2,253 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 88275.40 | 86601.90 | 87690.68 | -0.16% | 1.90% | 5,855 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 88587.05 | 88755.24 | 87051.52 | 87434.00 | -1.32% | 1.92% | 3,745 BTC |
| During | 87434.00 | 88275.40 | 86601.90 | 87733.19 | 0.34% | 1.90% | 5,767 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 88587.05 | 88755.24 | 87051.52 | 87830.93 | -0.86% | 1.92% | 5,127 BTC |
| During | 87830.92 | 88372.35 | 86601.90 | 87665.86 | -0.19% | 2.00% | 8,953 BTC |
