ETH Volatility Analysis for Durable Orders Ex Transportation, 25th October 2024

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 25 October 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation came in at 1.1% for September 2024, against 0.6% in August 2024. Durable goods orders excluding transportation are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 0.59x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders Ex Transportation release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.70x, against a typical 1.57x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $2,544.52 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.07% lower, and an hour later 0.28% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.48% of its price, against 0.55% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders Ex Transportation releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.66x across 19, against 1.30x across 49. This one came out 13 days before the Federal Reserve's 7 November rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.59x compares with 1.66x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders ex transportation reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) excluding transportation equipment in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

2,534.42

Close

2,441.28

24h Change

-93.14 (-3.82%)

24h High

2,566.33

24h Low

2,382.59

24h Volume

529,293 ETH

US Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation

Bureau of Census

25th October, 2024, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before2544.012544.522544.002544.510.02%0.02%19 ETH
During2544.522544.642543.152543.99-0.02%0.06%82 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before2543.922546.102543.102544.510.02%0.12%607 ETH
During2544.522545.002541.002541.07-0.14%0.16%558 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before2542.362546.102539.602544.510.08%0.26%2,079 ETH
During2544.522545.002538.922540.48-0.16%0.24%1,780 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before2545.902546.372539.602544.51-0.05%0.27%3,263 ETH
During2544.522545.002538.922542.77-0.07%0.24%2,467 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before2545.132553.502539.602544.51-0.02%0.54%7,769 ETH
During2544.522545.002536.562538.14-0.25%0.33%4,415 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before2542.242553.502539.602544.510.09%0.54%12,131 ETH
During2544.522545.002532.912537.36-0.28%0.48%10,002 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before2544.562553.502537.062544.510.00%0.64%23,068 ETH
During2544.522559.332525.102555.560.43%1.34%35,521 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before2494.982553.502494.872544.511.95%2.30%76,335 ETH
During2544.522566.332508.712528.82-0.62%2.25%86,170 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before2496.202553.502462.062544.511.90%3.58%114,155 ETH
During2544.522566.332455.602504.28-1.61%4.31%155,327 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before2534.422534.922462.062494.99-1.58%2.87%99,042 ETH
During2494.982566.332494.872528.821.34%2.78%162,505 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before2534.422553.502462.062544.510.40%3.58%175,377 ETH
During2544.522566.332382.592441.28-4.23%7.16%353,917 ETH

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